AU - Bunbury - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

9.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

106.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Time for the Bunbury Cup now and FANCY RED (4) brings in a different formline, but one that is equally as good. She was impressive when holding off Asif over the mile and she looks well placed getting out to 1 ¼m now. Maps to be positive from the outset and she can go back-to-back. REDBACK FLYER (11) stuck on well in the Detonator Stakes in what was a bunched finish. He gets a weight swing in his favour though as well as a rise to 1 ¼m. He looks as though he's been wanting this trip for a while now and it wouldn't surprise to see him go to another level. FLY WITH CAUTION (6) felt the pinch late in the Detonator but was 35 days between runs there. He'll be better for that run and out to 1 ¼m for the firs times doesn't seem an issue. Can make every post a winner from the inside. SILVER EYE (3) flew home last start in the Detonator and has to be included on that performance. ARCADIA PARK (5) is knocking on the door and looks primed here fourth-up into the campaign.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at Ascot Rtg 72+ February 28 over 1m defeating Asif with 128lbs at $2.10. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on February 21 over 1m, long-neck behind Asif with 129lbs at $5.50. Can go on with the job as she rises in trip now. 1st Pick 4 Fancy Red Jockey: Brad Parnham Trainer: Adam Durrant J: Brad Parnham T: Adam Durrant	128	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run favourite, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.5 len at Ascot Rtg 72+ February 28 over 1m defeating Asif with 128lbs at $2.10. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Ascot Rtg 66+ on February 21 over 1m, long-neck behind Asif with 129lbs at $5.50. Can go on with the job as she rises in trip now.
11	Most recently 6th of 15 at Ascot in the LR Detonator on February 21 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Fear The Wind carrying 121lbs at $5.50. The start before that won by a nose at Ascot Rtg 66+ January 31 over 1m defeating Cashel Palace carrying 127lbs at $3.80. Not far away last time. Not far away last start and gets a few things in his favour here. 2nd Pick 11 Redback Flyer Jockey: Chris Parnham Trainer: Michael Lane J: Chris Parnham T: Michael Lane	155	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Most recently 6th of 15 at Ascot in the LR Detonator on February 21 over 1m, 1.5 len behind Fear The Wind carrying 121lbs at $5.50. The start before that won by a nose at Ascot Rtg 66+ January 31 over 1m defeating Cashel Palace carrying 127lbs at $3.80. Not far away last time. Not far away last start and gets a few things in his favour here.
6	Last start 7th of 15 at Ascot in the LR Detonator on February 21 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Fear The Wind with 121lbs at $4.60. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Ascot Rtg 70+ on January 17 over 1m, head behind Our Paladin Al with 132lbs at $4.20. Should get every chance off the inside. 3rd Pick 6 Fly With Caution Jockey: Steven Parnham Trainer: Robert & Kate Witten J: Steven Parnham T: Robert & Kate Witten	108	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start 7th of 15 at Ascot in the LR Detonator on February 21 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Fear The Wind with 121lbs at $4.60. The start before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Ascot Rtg 70+ on January 17 over 1m, head behind Our Paladin Al with 132lbs at $4.20. Should get every chance off the inside.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.