Home Run Picks Today: 3 Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets for Wednesday 4/15/26

Today's Top Home Run Picks at a Glance

• Elly De La Cruz (+440): Taking on a right-hander at homer-happy Great American Ball Park
• Carlos Correa (+570): In his preferred split versus a below-average southpaw
• Joc Pederson (+420): Facing a righty in a homer-friendly park

Across all of sports, few things are more exciting than the long ball.

That translates to the prop market, too, where each crack of the bat can get our heart pumping.

Using our MLB projections as a guide, which home run props stand out for today's MLB action?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Today's Best Home Run Props

Elly De La Cruz to Hit a Home Run (+440)

Giants at Reds, 6:41 p.m. ET

Elly De La Cruz is off to a quality start, and I like him today in a home matchup with Tyler Mahle.

Elly owns a .401 wOBA and five bombs through his first 75 plate appearances this season. He's usually much more productive against right-handers, generating a .361 wOBA in the split last year, compared to a .268 wOBA versus southpaws.

De La Cruz is also significantly better at home, amassing a .359 wOBA in the split in 2025 -- much higher than his road wOBA of .307.

Mahle pitched to a 4.62 SIERA last year while surrendering a 40.8% fly-ball rate. He's prone to giving up the long-ball.

As an added bonus, this game is at homer-friendly Great American Ball Park.

Carlos Correa to Hit a Home Run (+570)

Rockies at Astros, 8:11 p.m. ET

Carlos Correa will see lefty Jose Quintana today, and that puts him on my dinger radar.

Quintana is in his age-37 season, and he appeared to be running on fumes last campaign, struggling to a 5.04 SIERA. Right-handed hitters tagged him for a 40.0% fly-ball rate in 2025, and Correa can take advantage of this matchup.

Correa underwhelmed a year ago, but he's off to a better start this season, racking up a .376 expected wOBA and 38.0% hard-hit rate.

Even in a down year in 2025, Correa still did well with the platoon advantage, posting a .345 wOBA in the split.

Joc Pederson to Hit a Home Run (+420)

Rangers at Athletics, 9:41 p.m. ET

Joc Pederson is facing a right-hander at a homer-friendly park.

Pederson is slated to see J.T. Ginn. Ginn is a solid hurler, but he's allowing a 40.0% fly-ball rate so far this year. He also has a tough time last year in the A's temporary home stadium, surrendering a .385 wOBA and 2.28 jacks per nine at home.

Pederson is a threat whenever he's up against a righty. In 2025, he had a 47.4% fly-ball rate with the platoon advantage, and he'll benefit from a large park-factor boost today.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +210 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +210 line means a $100 bet returns $210 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +210 returns $21 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 32% for +210 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that an HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.