Florida vs Kentucky College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (25-6, 16-2 SEC) and the No. 9 seed Kentucky Wildcats (21-12, 10-8 SEC) square off in the SEC tournament Friday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Florida vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (75.2%)

Before you bet on Friday's Florida-Kentucky spread (Florida -10.5) or over/under (159.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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Florida vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has put together a 19-12-0 record against the spread this season.
• Kentucky has put together a 16-17-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Kentucky covers the spread when it is a 10.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That's more often than Florida covers as a favorite of 10.5 or more (41.2%).
• The Gators sport a worse record against the spread at home (7-8-0) than they do in road games (9-1-0).
• The Wildcats have the same winning percentage against the spread (.500) at home (9-9-0 record) and away (5-5-0) this season.
• Florida has 14 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• Kentucky is 10-10-0 against the spread in SEC play this year.

Florida vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has come away with 21 wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Gators have been victorious 13 times in 15 chances when named as a favorite of at least -581 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Kentucky has compiled a 2-8 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 20% of those games).
• The Wildcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +420 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida has a 85.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Florida vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

• On offense, Florida was the fifth-best squad in college basketball (84.8 points per game) last year. On defense, it was 91st (69.6 points allowed per game).
• Last season, Florida was second-best in college basketball in rebounds (39 per game) and 129th in rebounds conceded (30.4).
• Florida was 61st in college basketball in assists (15.4 per game) last season.
• Florida committed 10.6 turnovers per game last year and forced 11.1 per game, ranking 129th and 197th, respectively, in college basketball.
• Kentucky was led by its offense last season, as it ranked seventh-best in college basketball by averaging 84.4 points per game. It ranked 315th in college basketball in points allowed (77.2 per contest).
• With 34.1 boards per game, Kentucky ranked 63rd in the country. It allowed 32.1 rebounds per contest, which ranked 239th in college basketball.
• Kentucky was one of the top teams in college basketball when it comes to assists, as it delivered 16.9 per game (17th-best in college basketball).
• With 10.4 turnovers per game, Kentucky ranked 108th in the country. It forced 9.9 turnovers per contest, which ranked 312th in college basketball.

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