Florida vs Iowa College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Second Round

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators (27-7) will take to the court against the No. 9 seed Iowa Hawkeyes (22-12) on Sunday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on the line. This matchup tips at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Florida vs. Iowa Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TBS
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Arena: Benchmark International Arena
Florida vs. Iowa Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (71%)
Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Florida (-10.5) versus Iowa on Sunday. The over/under is set at 145.5 points for this game.
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Florida vs. Iowa: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Florida has put together a 20-14-0 record against the spread this season.
- Iowa is 19-15-0 ATS this season.
- When the spread is set as 10.5 or more this season, Florida (8-11) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (42.1%) than Iowa (2-0) does as the underdog (100%).
- The Gators have done a better job covering the spread on the road (9-1-0) than they have at home (7-8-0).
- The Hawkeyes' winning percentage against the spread at home is .588 (10-7-0). On the road, it is .455 (5-6-0).
Florida vs. Iowa: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Florida has been victorious in 23, or 82.1%, of the 28 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- This season, the Gators have been victorious 15 times in 17 chances when named as a favorite of at least -450 or better on the moneyline.
- Iowa has gone 1-9 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 10% of those games).
- The Hawkeyes have played as a moneyline underdog of +340 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Florida has a 81.8% chance of walking away with the win.
Florida vs. Iowa Head-to-Head Comparison
- Last season, Florida was fifth-best in the country offensively (84.8 points scored per game) and ranked 91st defensively (69.6 points allowed).
- On the boards, Florida was second-best in the nation in rebounds (39.0 per game) last season. It was 129th in rebounds allowed (30.4 per game).
- Florida was 61st in the nation in assists (15.4 per game) last year.
- Florida committed 10.6 turnovers per game last season and forced 11.1 per game, ranking 129th and 197th, respectively, in the nation.
- Because of Iowa's defensive struggles last year, ranking 16th-worst in the country with 79.7 points allowed per game, it had to lean on its offense, which ranked 16th-best in college basketball tallying 82.5 points per game.
- Iowa ranked 21st-worst in college basketball with 34.4 rebounds allowed per game. Meanwhile, it pulled down 29.7 rebounds per game (310th-ranked in college basketball).
- Iowa racked up assists last year, ranking third-best in the country with 18.3 per contest.
- Iowa ranked 35th in the country with 9.5 turnovers per game last year. Meanwhile, it ranked 112th with 12.0 forced turnovers per contest.
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