FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks and Helper: Saturday 11/11/23
NBA DFS is easier to predict than baseball or football, it would likely get plenty of votes as the best sport to play on FanDuel. Basketball players usually stick to the same minutes and produce at roughly the same rate. Sounds easy, right? Trust me -- it's not!
As a result, NBA daily fantasy is highly reliant on a player's opportunity, so you'll need to ensure that you're up to date with key injuries. numberFire's projections update up until tip-off to reflect current news. numberFire also has player news updates, and the FanDuel Scout app will send push notifications for pressing updates regarding your players.
In addition to daily projections, numberFire also offers a matchup heat map and a lineup optimizer to help give you an edge.
Here at FanDuel Research, we'll also come at you each day with this NBA DFS primer, which breaks down a few of the day's top plays at each position.
Let's dive into today's main slate on FanDuel.
Team | Opp | O/U | Spread | Implied Total | Injuries |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOR | BOS | 222 | 8 | 107 | Achiuwa questionable |
CLE | GS | 223.5 | 3.5 | 110 | Okoro OUT |
MIA | ATL | 228.5 | 4.5 | 112 | Butler, Martin, Herro OUT |
GS | CLE | 223.5 | -3.5 | 113.5 | Green, Payton available |
BOS | TOR | 222 | -8 | 115 | |
ATL | MIA | 228.5 | -4.5 | 116.5 |
Guards
Donovan Mitchell ($10,000): At his second lowest salary this season, Cleveland's lead offensive option ranks fifth overall with a 41.8 fantasy projection versus a Golden State Warriors' team allowing 39.0 FanDuel points per game to his position. In their last meeting, Mitchell was his team's leading scorer, accounting for 31 real-life points and 45.9 FanDuel points at a salary $400 higher than today's.
Trae Young ($9,500): After Young's breakout performance in his last appearance, Atlanta's guard has seen a 5.5% increase to his highest point during November. In a tough spot versus a Miami Heat defense ranked sixth in FanDuel points (44.1) allowed per game to point guards, Young is first among his position with a 44.0 fantasy projection.
Stephen Curry ($9,300): Since the start of November, Curry's salary has decreased by 4.1% to his lowest point this season while producing 1.15 FanDuel points per minute and a 31.7% usage rate. Golden State's long range specialist ranks fifth overall with a 42.7 fantasy projection against a Cleveland Cavaliers' unit allowing an eye-popping 57.1 FanDuel points per game to point guards this season.
Dejounte Murray ($8,200): In his last four games, Murray has provided consistent production in both real-life and fantasy, recording 0.65 real-life points and 1.08 FanDuel points per minute.
Darius Garland ($7,400): The 23-year old ranks third among guards in value with a 4.83 rating and a 35.7 fantasy projection at his second lowest salary this season. Since his return on November 3rd, Garland is averaging 0.95 FanDuel points per minute and a 27.8% usage rate.
Dennis Schroder ($6,900): Among his team's starting lineup, Schroder ranks second in fantasy production (1.07 FanDuel points per minute) and third in usage (21.9%).
Klay Thompson ($5,400): In a great matchup versus a Cleveland team ranked 26th in opposing three point shooting percentage, the Warriors' Splash Brother is first among guards in value with a 5.59 rating and a 30.2 fantasy projection at his median salary in November.
Kyle Lowry ($5,400): Miami's veteran rates as an optimal option after Tyler Herro was ruled out with an ankle injury, ranking second overall in value with a 5.25 rating and a284. fantasy projection.
Forwards
Jayson Tatum ($10,600): Despite his lackluster 37.5 fantasy point performance on Friday, Tatum's salary has increased by 2.9% to his highest point in November. Despite a challenging spot versus a Toronto defense ranked sixth in FanDuel points (44.1) allowed per game to power forwards, Tatum still ranks first overall with a 46.8 fantasy projection.
Scottie Barnes ($9,700): Toronto's third-year forward has taken the next step in his development, accounting for a team-high 1.39 FanDuel points per minute and a 25.1% usage rate.
Kristaps Porzingis ($8,200): At his median salary in November, Boston's big man is second among his team's starting five in fantasy production (1.14 FanDuel points per minute) and third in usage (21.6%).
Pascal Siakam ($7,900): Since the start of this season, Toronto's forward has seen his salary move down 16.8% while averaging 0.90 FanDuel points per minute and a 22.8% usage rate.
Evan Mobley ($7,800): The 22-year old ranks sixth among forwards with 36.2 expected FanDuel points at his lowest salary this month against a Warriors' defense allowing 45.0 FanDuel points per game to his position.
Jaylen Brown ($7,500): Despite some inconsistent performances, Brown is still producing 1.05 FanDuel points per minute and a team-high 29.2% usage rate. At his lowest salary in November, Brown is fifth among forwards in value with a 4.79 rating and a 35.9 fantasy projection.
Jalen Johnson ($6,500): In his last three starts, Johnson has been a sneaky source for production, recording 1.19 FanDuel points and 0.53 real-life points per minute.
Andrew Wiggins ($4,900): At his lowest salary this season, Wiggins is third among forwards in value with a 5.11 rating and 25.0 fantasy projection. In 231 minutes, the 28-year old is averaging 0.64 FanDuel points per minute and a 22.4% usage rate.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. ($4,500): The Heat rookie sees a noticeable boost in production with Saturday's inactives, recording 1.13 FanDuel points per minute.
Duncan Robinson($4,400): Miami's three-point specialist is today's top value option with a 5.51 rating and a 24.2 fantasy projection even at his highest salary this season.
Centers
Bam Adebayo ($8,800): Despite a 10% salary jump, Adebayo is second overall with a 45.8 fantasy projection versus an Atlanta defense allowing 52.7 FanDuel points per game to centers. With today's inactives, Miami's big man sees an increased offensive role, producing a 30.9% usage rate in this split.
Jarrett Allen ($6,600): Since his return on November 3rd, Allen is recording 1.10 FanDuel points per minute and a 16.1% usage rate.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.