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Duke vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - November 12

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Duke vs Kentucky Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - November 12

The Kentucky Wildcats (2-0) play the Duke Blue Devils (2-0) at State Farm Arena on November 12, 2024.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Tuesday, November 12, 2024
  • Game time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Arena: State Farm Arena

Duke vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (68.8%)

Before you wager on Tuesday's Duke-Kentucky spread (Duke -5.5) or total (159.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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Duke vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Duke covered 21 times in 36 matchups with a spread last season.
  • Kentucky put together a 16-17-0 ATS record last year.
  • Duke (17-11) covered a lower percentage of games when it was favored by 5.5 points or more last season (60.7%) than Kentucky (2-0) did as a 5.5+-point underdog (100%).
  • The Blue Devils sported a better record against the spread when playing at home (11-7-0) than they did in road games (5-6-0) last season.
  • In 2023-24 against the spread, the Wildcats had a lower winning percentage at home (.444, 8-10-0 record) than on the road (.600, 6-4-0).

Duke vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Duke won 23 of the 30 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (76.7%).
  • In games they played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -250 or shorter, the Blue Devils had an 18-4 record (winning 81.8% of their games).
  • Kentucky was an underdog seven times last season and won five of those games.
  • The Wildcats had a record of 2-1 in games where sportsbooks had them as underdogs of at least +202 on the moneyline.
  • Duke has an implied moneyline win probability of 71.4% in this matchup.

Duke vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

  • The Wildcats were 67th in the nation at 34.3 rebounds per game. That was similar to the 33.3 their opponents averaged.
  • The Wildcats' 106.2 points per 100 possessions on offense ranked seventh in college basketball, and the 95.1 points they allowed per 100 possessions ranked 249th in college basketball.

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