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Arkansas vs Kentucky College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 31

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Arkansas vs Kentucky College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 31

The Arkansas Razorbacks (16-5, 6-2 SEC) will try to extend a five-game home win streak when they host the Kentucky Wildcats (14-7, 5-3 SEC) on January 31, 2026 at Bud Walton Arena.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arkansas vs. Kentucky Game Info and Odds

  • Game day: Saturday, January 31, 2026
  • Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
  • Arena: Bud Walton Arena

Arkansas vs. Kentucky Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arkansas win (76.8%)

Read these betting insights and trends before you bet on Saturday's Arkansas-Kentucky spread (Arkansas -6.5) or total (160.5 points).

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Arkansas vs. Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Arkansas has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
  • Kentucky has put together an 8-13-0 record against the spread this season.
  • When the spread is set as 6.5 or more this season, Arkansas (7-3) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (70%) than Kentucky (1-1) does as the underdog (50%).
  • The Razorbacks have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered nine times in 12 opportunities at home, and they've covered two times in five opportunities in away games.
  • This year, the Wildcats are 6-7-0 at home against the spread (.462 winning percentage). Away, they are 1-4-0 ATS (.200).
  • Against the spread, in conference games, Arkansas is 5-3-0 this year.
  • Kentucky has posted two SEC wins against the spread this year.

Arkansas vs. Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Arkansas has been listed as the moneyline favorite 12 times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
  • The Razorbacks have yet to lose in eight games when named as moneyline favorite of -319 or better.
  • Kentucky has won one of the five games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (20%).
  • The Wildcats have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +255 or longer.
  • Arkansas has an implied victory probability of 76.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Arkansas vs. Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Last year, Arkansas was 95th in college basketball on offense (76.8 points scored per game) and 156th defensively (71.4 points conceded).
  • Arkansas grabbed 32.4 rebounds per game and conceded 32.3 boards last year, ranking 156th and 257th, respectively, in college basketball.
  • At 14.2 assists per game last season, Arkansas was 124th in college basketball.
  • At 11.3 turnovers committed per game and 11.6 turnovers forced last year, Arkansas was 201st and 146th in the nation, respectively.
  • Kentucky owned a top-25 offense last year, ranking seventh-best in college basketball with 84.4 points per game. On defense, it ranked 315th with 77.2 points allowed per contest.
  • Last year Kentucky pulled down 34.1 boards per game (63rd-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 32.1 rebounds per contest (239th-ranked).
  • Kentucky piled up assists last year, ranking 17th-best in the nation with 16.9 per game.
  • Kentucky averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (108th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 9.9 turnovers per contest (312th-ranked).

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