3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Tuesday 1/2/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Luguentz Dort Over 9.5 Points (-118)

In what should be the most competitive matchup on tonight's slate, the Boston Celtics will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder. These teams are two of just five squads in the NBA to have at least 22 wins, and though this game boasts plenty of star power, I'm most interested in targeting Luguentz Dort's undervalued points prop.

Dort is averaging 11.1 points per game this season. He's prone to dud performances on an OKC team that touts a myriad of scoring threats, but he has scored 10-plus points in 7 of his last 10 games, averaging 13.3 points across that span.

He's also a better scorer at home (12.5 points per game) than he is on the road (9.3). Plus, the 4.0-point spread gives credence to the competitive matchup we should expect, and Dort is averaging 12.5 points in OKC games that have been decided by 10 or fewer points this season.

Boston allows the fourth-most three-point attempts (3PA) per game. Add in that this is a pace-up game for the Celtics -- Boston plays at the seventh-slowest pace and OKC plays at the seventh-fastest pace -- and we should expect a game that favors three-point shooting.

This is excellent news for Dort. Not only does he score 50.5% of his points from behind the arc, but he also leads all Thunder starters in three-point percentage (42.7%), 3PA, and three-pointers made (3PM) per game.

Since his sophomore season in the league, Dort has matched up against Boston on five occasions. He scored at least 10 points in all of these games -- and at least 15 points in his last four contests against Boston -- averaging 18.8 points in this five-game sample.

I'm bullish enough on the value that I will side with Dort To Score 15+ Points at +370.

Ja Morant To Score 30+ Points (+145)

The San Antonio Spurs get fried by opposing point guards, and there are few better candidates to make a meal out of this weak Spurs team than Ja Morant.

In six games this season, Morant has scored 30-plus points in three contests. An illness kept Morant from producing to his full potential in last Friday's game against the Los Angeles Clippers, so we are probably getting better odds than this cushy matchup would typically afford.

The Spurs give up more points to point guards than any other team in the NBA. Morant nets 64.9% of his points in the paint, and San Antonio surrenders the ninth-most paint points to point guards per 36 minutes.

Morant has yet to get going from downtown in his young season, but he could tonight against a team that allows the fifth-most 3PM to his position.

Free throws should also play a role in getting Morant to 30 points. The Spurs grant opposing guards the seventh-most free-throw attempts (FTA) per game, and Morant is a frequent foul line visitor. He is netting 22.6% of his buckets off of foul shots and is shooting free throws at an 82.9% clip.

Morant is one of the most efficient scorers in the league, so I'll take the plus-odds that he can take advantage of this friendly matchup, even if blowout potential could rear its head with this 10.5-point spread.

In his last five matchups against San Antonio, Morant is averaging a whopping 38.6 points, netting at least 30 points in each contest.

Coby White Over 9.5 Reb + Ast (-148)

The odds on this aren't fun, but I can't get over the fact that Coby White has recorded over 9.5 combined rebounds and assists (RA) in 14 out of 15 games without Zach LaVine in the starting lineup for the Chicago Bulls.

Before LaVine (foot) was injured, White was averaging just 6.8 RA. Since LaVine's absence, White is averaging 11.7 RA. Sans-LaVine, we've got a 93.3% hit rate (14 out of 15) on the over for White's RA prop tonight.

White and the Bulls will go up against the Philadelphia 76ers for the third time in just two weeks. In his last two games against the Sixers, White averaged 13.5 RA (17 and 10 RA performances).

Chicago has a 106.5 implied team total tonight, which seems quite low. However, the Bulls have scored 108 points or less in five of their last ten games, and White is still averaging 11.4 RA in that span.

Given White's history against the Sixers and without LaVine, I can't side with anything but the over.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.