UConn vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for April 1 NCAA Final Four Game (Huskies Sneak By Hurricanes)

Updated: Sep 10, 5:00pm UTC

UConn vs Miami (FL) Game Info

2022-23 NCAA Tournament Game
No. 10 UConn (29-8) vs. No. 16 Miami (FL) (29-7)
Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
Time: 8:49 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium -- Houston, Texas
Coverage: CBS

The 2023 NCAA Tournament continues on Saturday with a great Final Four matchup between the No. 5 Miami Hurricanes and No. 4 UConn Huskies. Miami is aiming to earn its first NCAA Championship appearance in history, while UConn is looking to get back to the final for the first time since 2014.

Miami pulled off an 88-81 upset win over Texas on Sunday behind Jordan Miller's standout outing (27 points on 7-of-7 shooting). Meanwhile, UConn crushed Gonzaga by a score of 82-54 on Saturday as Jordan Hawkins scored a team-high 20 points. Which team will advance with an unforgettable win?

UConn vs Miami (FL) Odds & Spread

All college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: UCONN: (-240) | MIAMI: (+195)
Spread: UCONN: -5.5 (-114) | MIAMI: +5.5 (-106)
Total: 149.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

UConn enters this contest as a moderate favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This Final Four clash also features an over/under of 149.5 points, with both sides available at -110 odds.

UConn vs Miami (FL) Betting Trends

UConn has 25 wins in 37 games against the spread this season.
As 5.5-point favorites or more, the Huskies are 16-9 against the spread.
Out of 37 UConn's games so far this season, 20 have hit the over.
Miami (FL) has covered the spread 22 times in 36 games.
The Hurricanes have an ATS record of 3-0 as 5.5-point underdogs or greater.
Miami (FL) has seen 17 of its 36 games hit the over.

UConn Rank	UConn AVG		Miami (FL) AVG	Miami (FL) Rank
27th	78.8	Points Scored	79.6	21st
35th	64.4	Points Allowed	71.9	236th
10th	36.3	Rebounds	32.2	147th
7th	11.5	Off. Rebounds	8.9	140th
30th	9.1	3pt Made	7.5	166th
4th	17.6	Assists	14.6	70th
217th	12.2	Turnovers	10.8	71st

UConn vs Miami (FL) Prediction & Pick

It's safe to say that both Miami and UConn deserve to battle it out for a spot in the championship. The Hurricanes have beaten three top-four seeds and have not been favored in a game since the first round. Meanwhile, the Huskies have taken down each of their four opponents by an average of 22.5 points.

What stands out for Miami is its ability to adjust. The Hurricanes took down a sizeable Indiana team by outrebounding the Hoosiers by 17. They then beat a defensively gifted Houston team by draining 11 three-pointers and slowed down a fast Texas team with 32 trips to the free-throw line.

UConn has few weaknesses to exploit, though. The Huskies allow an opponent three-point percentage of 29.7% (No. 13 in NCAA) and control the boards by averaging 39.3 rebounds per game (No. 10 in NCAA). They also shoot a reliable 76.0% from the free throw line (No. 37 in NCAA).

This one is going to be close, but I don't expect UConn's dominance to end on Saturday night.

Final Score Prediction: UConn: 76 | Miami: 72

UConn vs Miami (FL) Best Bet

UConn enters this one with the edge in a few statistical categories, but those advantages are not enough to warrant a 5.5-point spread. This is a Miami team that has been winning outright as an underdog all season long and knows how to both play with a considerable lead or fight back from a large deficit.

Miami is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games overall, 5-1 ATS in its last six Saturday games away from home and 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games against UConn. Not only that, but five of the last 10 Final Four games have also been decided by fewer than six points. Don't expect a blowout here.

Bet: Miami Hurricanes +5.5 (-106)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.