Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for November 30 (The Loss of Karl-Anthony Towns Looms Large)

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, November 30, 2022
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: BSSE and BSN

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Wednesday with 13 more games, including a battle between the Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves. The Grizzlies took down the New York Knicks, 127-123, on Sunday. Ja Morant posted a triple-double with 27 points, 14 assists and 10 rebounds.

Meanwhile, the Timberwolves fell short in a 142-127 loss to the Washington Wizards on Monday. Anthony Edwards dropped 29 points (9-of-19 shooting) and Jaylen Nowell added 23 points off the bench. Minnesota allowed Washington to shoot 57.1% from the floor and 48.4% from beyond the arc.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Odds & Spread

• All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MEM: (-144) | MIN: (+122)
• Spread: MEM: -2.5 (-110) | MIN: +2.5 (-110)
• Total: 231 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Grizzlies enter this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 231 points, which is above average compared to the rest of Wednesday's projected totals.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

• The Grizzlies covered 51 times in 82 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Timberwolves went 12-10 as underdogs of 3.5 points or more last season.
• A total of 42 Grizzlies games last season hit the over.
• There were 49 Timberwolves games (out of 82) that went over the total last year.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Pick

This one has mismatch written all over it. The Grizzlies enter with their star player in Morant coming off his best outing of the season. On the other side, the Timberwolves will be without their star player as Karl-Anthony Towns nurses a calf injury. Minnesota has been blown out in back-to-back games.

The Grizzlies shoot 36.3% from three-point range this season and average 55.6 points in the paint per game (No. 3 in NBA). That does not bode well for a Minnesota defense that allows a three-point shooting percentage of 37.3% (No. 25 in NBA) and just gave up 62 points in the paint on Monday.

Memphis is also 5-1 straight up in its last six games against Minnesota, so give me the Grizzlies.

Final Score Prediction: Timberwolves: 109 | Grizzlies: 119

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Best Bet

Losing Towns is a big deal for the Timberwolves. He ranks second on the team in rebounding (8.2 boards per game), which is notable because Memphis enters Wednesday night with the second-best total rebounding rate in the league (52.9%). Rudy Gobert is going to have his work cut out for him.

Not only are the Grizzlies 5-1 straight up in their last six games against Minnesota, but they are also 4-2 against the spread (ATS) during that same span. The Timberwolves are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. Take the Grizzlies to win comfortably.

Bet: Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.