Texas vs Washington Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for 2022 Alamo Bowl (Longhorns Hold on Against Huskies)

Texas vs Washington Alamo Bowl Game Info

2022 College Football Game - Alamo Bowl
No. 20 Texas Longhorns (8-4) vs. Washington Huskies (10-2)
Date: Thursday, Dec. 29, 2022
Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Alamodome— San Antonio, TX
Coverage: ESPN

With the 2022-23 college football regular season in the rearview mirror, bowl games are right around the corner. The Alamo Bowl is set for kickoff on Thursday, Dec. 29, and pits the No. 20 Texas Longhorns against the No. 12 Washington Huskies. It will be Texas' sixth appearance at the Alamo Bowl.

Texas vs Washington Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TEX: (-220) | WASH: (+180)
Spread: TEX: -5.5 (-115) | WASH: +13.5 (-105)
Total: 68.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Texas enters this contest as nearly a TD favorite on the spread (-5.5) and better than 2/1 on the moneyline (-220). A win by Washington returns +180. This anticipated clash also features a high total of 68.5 points, which is well above average when compared to the rest of the college football bowl game slate.

Texas vs Washington Prediction & Pick

The Longhorns qualify as a defensive dominator allowing just 21.2 points and 362 yards per game. Washington allows 28.2 points, 390 yards per game and 5.5 yards per play vs FBS opponents. The Longhorns' strength is run defense, but they allow 239 passing YPG (No. 82) and Washington has the top pass attack in the country led by QB Michael Penix Jr. He's passed for 4,354 yards (362/game) to lead the country while 29 passing TDs.

Texas has a solid, balanced offensive attack led by top RB Bijan Robinson. The Longhorns run for 200 YPG and pass for 231 YPG. Quarterback Quinn Ewers has failed to pass for more than 200 yards in his last four games, but the Longhorns scored 34, 55 and 38 points in three wins. Texas was perfectly balanced on offense in beating Baylor to close the season against the Bears' Big 12 average defense.

Washington's run defense is pretty solid allowing 131 YPG vs FBS foes, but their pass efficiency defense is below average. Washington only punted 22 times this season, but they will punt more than two times in this contest. Penix passed for 298 yards vs Oregon State's top Pac-12 defense, but wasn't sacked in 52 dropbacks in a 24-21 win.

Final Score Prediction: Texas: 31 | Washington: 27

Texas vs Washington Betting Trends

- Texas is 6-2 straight up (SU) in their last 8 games.
- Texas is 9-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 13 games.
- The total has hit the Over in 4 of Texas' last 5 games.
- Washington is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.
- The total has hit the Over in 9 of Washington's last 13 games.

Texas vs Washington Carolina Best Bet

This is a strong bowl matchup and Texas has a regional edge playing 80 miles from campus. Washington head coach Kalen DeBoer is coaching his first bowl game, and Texas' Steve Sarkisian his 5th. Since 2015, head coaches with an experience advantage in coaching bowl games have gone 144-99 SU and 142-99-2 ATS (58.9%). Texas is playing in their home state, and teams with a regional advantage are 36-29 ATS in the last 66 situations including 10-9 ATS over the last 3 years, per VSiN.

The Longhorns defense also held top teams Alabama and TCU to less than 20 points. Washington QB Penix faces a tougher challenge, and the preferred play is less scoring than expected.

Bet: Under 68.5 Points (-110)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.