Ole Miss vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 12 (Hogs Go Wild)
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Ole Miss vs Arkansas Week 12 Game Info
2022 NCAA College Football Game
No. 14 Ole Miss Rebels (8-2, 4-2 SEC) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (5-5, 2-4 SEC)
Date: Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadkum — Fayetteville, AR
Coverage: SEC Network
Week 12 of the 2022 college football season includes an SEC showdown between the No. 14 Mississippi Rebels and Arkansas Razorbacks. Ole Miss lost to Alabama last week, 30-24, in a game where the Rebels outgained the Tide by nearly 100 yards.
Meanwhile, Arkansas comes off a 13-10 loss at LSU. The Hogs played without star QB KJ Jefferson, however, who has been banged up the past few games but is expected to be back against Ole Miss.
Ole Miss vs Arkansas Odds & Spread
All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MISS: (-125) | ARK: (+104)
Spread: MISS: -1.5 (-112) | ARK: +1.5 (-108)
Total: 67.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Ole Miss enters this contest as a slight road favorite on the spread (-1.5) and moneyline (-125). This SEC clash also features a total of 67.5 points, which is up eight points from last Sunday's opener in Las Vegas.
Ole Miss vs Arkansas Prediction & Pick
These are two of the top Power 5 rushing teams in the country with Ole Miss averaging 262 yards per game and Arkansas averaging 226. They are led by the SEC's top rushers Quinshon Judkins (1,171 yards) for Ole Miss and Raheim Sanders (1,147) for Arkansas.
Many teams have had success passing against the Razorbacks, whose defense allows an average of 270 passing yards per game vs FBS opponents (second-most in SEC). But Rebels QB Jaxson Dart has not been stellar through the air, finishing with less than 150 passing yards in two of his last four games. He's also struggled under pressure with a 42% completion rate and a 1:4 TD/INT ratio.
Arkansas' secondary grades are better than their overall defensive stats and their numbers have improved over the last several games. The Razorbacks will also get DB Myles Slusher back from suspension this week, which should give their defense a boost.
Final Score Prediction: Arkansas: 34 | Ole Miss: 27
Ole Miss vs Arkansas Betting Trends
- Ole Miss is 12-3 straight up (SU) in their last 15 games.
- Ole Miss is 1-9 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games on the road at Arkansas.
- The total has hit the Over in 4 of Ole Miss' last 5 games.
- Arkansas is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone Over in 9 of Arkansas' last 13 games.
Ole Miss vs Arkansas Best Bet
All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Ole Miss left it all on the field against Alabama last week. You're not going to get their best game this week, and that's a concern.
The Playbook Sports newsletter notes that conference home underdogs coming off back-to-back losses facing an opponent off a loss are 28-12 ATS. That improves to 24-6 if playing with revenge.
Who can forget last year's wild thriller when Ole Miss edged Arkansas, 52-51? The Hogs smell victory this time and should get it at home.
Bet: Arkansas +1.5 (-108) and Moneyline (+104)
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.