Nuggets vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Finals Game 4 (Denver Continues Thriving in South Beach)

The 2022-23 NBA Finals continue on Friday, June 9 with Game 4 of the exciting Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets series.

Nuggets vs Heat Game 4 Info

• Series: DEN leads 2-1
• Date: Friday, June 9, 2023
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: ABC

As the series shifted to South Beach, the Nuggets regained control of the series with a 109-94 victory in Game 3. There was just no stopping the dynamic duo of Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray as each man recorded a triple-double while combining for 66 points, 31 rebounds, and 20 assists.

Nuggets vs Heat Odds & Spread

• All NBA betting lines, odds, and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: DEN: (-152) | MIA: (+128)
• Spread: DEN: -3.5 (-108) | MIA: +3.5 (-112)
• Total: 210.5 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

The Nuggets enter this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 210.5 points with the Over being favored at -112 odds.

Nuggets vs Heat Betting Trends

• Denver is 8-1 straight up (SU) in its last nine games against Miami.
• Miami is 1-5 SU in its last six games played in June.
• Denver is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games.
• Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last five home games against Denver.
• The total has hit the Under in six of Denver's last nine games.
• The total has hit the Under in four of Miami's last five home games.

Heat vs Nuggets Prediction & Pick

The series has gone back and forth thus far, but momentum is on the Nuggets' side following their 15-point victory in Game 2. The Heat just couldn't get anything going, scoring just 94 points on 37.0% shooting from the floor with a 31.4% success rate from the three-point line, never leading by more than five points.

Miami also failed to capitalize on the opposition's mistakes, only scoring eight points off of Denver's 14 turnovers. On the flip side, the Nuggets turned the Heat's four turnovers into 17 points.

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Having faith in the Heat is tough when they haven't found any answer to the Jokic-Murray combination. Both men are having their way with Miami's defense, scoring, rebounding, and playmaking as they please. Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo have been a solid pairing for the Heat, but they haven't come close to matching Jokic and Murray's offensive output.

Furthermore, the Nuggets thrive playing in Miami, winning each of their last five trips to Kaseya Center by an average of 11.8 points. In other words, until the Heat can shut down Denver's top stars, the Nuggets will continue to find success.

Final Score Prediction: Nuggets: 113 | Heat: 102

Nuggets vs Heat Best Bet

With how dominant they've been in Miami, I'm taking the Nuggets to cover the 3.5-point spread as the best bet. Not only are they 4-1 ATS in their past five games, but also 8-1 ATS in their previous nine against the Heat. Miami, on the other hand, has failed to cover in five straight homing outings against Denver while also going 1-5 ATS in its last six meetings with the Northwest Division.

Outscoring the Heat by an average of 7.7 points per game to begin this series, the Nuggets won't have any issues winning by four-plus points.

Bet: Nuggets -3.5 (-108)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.