Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for College Football Week 7 Game on FanDuel

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Week 7 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
No. 16 Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-1, 2-1 SEC) vs. No. 22 Kentucky Wildcats (4-2, 1-2 SEC)
Date: Saturday, Oct. 15, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Kroger Field — Lexington, KY
Coverage: SEC Network

Week 7 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes an SEC showdown between Top 25 opponents. The No. 16 Mississippi State Bulldogs tackle the No. 22 Kentucky Wildcats in Lexington.

Kentucky has lost two straight SEC games following last week's 24-14 loss to South Carolina playing without start QB Will Levis. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has rolled to three-straight wins while scoring at least 40 points in each contest including back-to-back SEC wins.

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MSST: (-182) | UK: (+150)
Spread: MSST: -4.5 (-106) | UK: +4.5 (-114)
Total: 48.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Mississippi enters this contest as a small spread favorite of -4.5 points with a moneyline of -182. A win by Kentucky returns +150 on the moneyline. The total is nearly 8 points below a college over/under at 48.5 points.

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction & Pick

Mississippi State has faced backup quarterbacks the last two weeks, and the Bulldogs have bullied their way to convincing wins over Texas A&M and Arkansas. Mississippi State has now scored at least 39 points in five games this season with their lone loss a 31-16 setback at LSU.

Now Mississippi State and the country's leading passer Will Rodgers (2,110 yards) faces another solid defense as Kentucky is allowing just 330 yards per game. That includes a top-15 pass defense allowing just 182 yards per game. Still, gunslinger Rodgers completed 36-of-39 passes for 344 yards against Kentucky last season in a 31-17 win over Kentucky as a 1-point favorite.

Kentucky also has QB Will Levis ready to return after missing last week's contest with a foot injury. Levis has passed for 1,405 yards and 12 TD's in five games, and he's the top-rated NFL quarterback prospect for the 2023 NFL Draft.

Final Score Prediction: Mississippi State: 30 | Kentucky: 27

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Betting Trends

- Mississippi State is 5-1 straight up in their last 6 games.
- Mississippi State is 9-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 13 games.
- The total has hit the Over in 8 of MSST's last 12 games.
- Kentucky is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.
- Kentucky is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games.
- Kentucky is 11-2 SU in their last 13 home games.

Mississippi State vs Kentucky Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

With Will Levis at quarterback this season, Kentucky has averaged a perfectly balanced 200 yards rushing and 200 yards passing against four FBS opponents. Last week, those numbers fell to 121 rushing and 178 passing with Levis sidelined and the Wildcats last to South Carolina 24-14.

Still, the yardage projections are very close with Levis playing, and Kentucky has the stronger special teams and has performed quite well despite being -3 in turnover margin this season while Mississippi State is +4 in turnover differential. This total is a bit low considering two top-tier and productive quarterbacks will be leading their teams.

Bet: Over 48.5 (-115)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.