Mexico vs Costa Rica Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for CONCACAF Gold Cup Quarterfinal (Mexicans Step Up on Defense)

The 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup continues on Saturday with an intriguing quarterfinals showdown between Mexico and Costa Rica at AT&T Stadium.

Mexico vs Costa Rica Match Info

2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup Quarterfinal
Mexico vs. Costa Rica
Date: Saturday, July 8, 2023
Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
Coverage: Fox Sports

The group stage of the 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup is now complete, meaning the knockout stage is ready to begin. Mexico finished atop Group B with a respectable 2-0-1 (W-D-L) record, while Costa Rica finished second in Group C with a 1-1-1 (W-D-L) record. Which team will earn a spot in the semifinals?

Mexico vs Costa Rica Odds & Spread

All CONCACAF Gold Cup betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MEX: (-300) | CR: (+650) | Draw (+370)
Spread: MEX: -1 (+115) | CR: +1 (+195)
Total: 2.5 – Over: (-138) | Under: (+100)
Team to Score the First Goal: MEX: (-290) | CR: (+250) I NO GOALS: (+1400)

Mexico enters this contest as the clear favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 2.5 goals with the Over favored at -138 odds.

Mexico vs Costa Rica Betting Trends

- Mexico is 3-0-2 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
- Costa Rica is 1-1-3 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
- Mexico has won the CONCACAF Gold Cup eight times, most recently in 2019.
- Costa Rica has made one CONCACAF Gold Cup finals appearance in 2002.
- Mexico and Costa Rica played to a 0-0 draw in the most recent matchup in 2022.

Mexico vs Costa Rica Prediction & Pick

Mexico was close to posting a perfect record in group play, but failed to convert on any of its 25 shot attempts in a 1-0 loss to Qatar. The result seemed like just a blip in the radar, though, as Mexico did everything right besides score. The team is 3-0-1 in its last four matches with an 8-2 goal advantage.

Costa Rica is only 1-1-2 during that same stretch and has conceded nine goals, while only scoring eight. Keep in mind manager Luis Suarez's team is only 0-3-2 (W-D-L) in its last five matches against Mexico, too. A group stage victory over Martinique is not enough to justify overlooking those records.

I'll trust the trend of recent form and back Mexico to earn yet another trip to the Gold Cup semifinals.

Final Score Prediction: Mexico: 2 | Costa Rica: 0

See more 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup betting content from The Duel:

Mexico vs Costa Rica Best Bet

These teams have met on the pitch four times since the calendar turned to 2021 and Costa Rica has failed to score a goal in all four of those contests. Mexico has been able to combat every offensive strategy with stellar tackles and dependable goalkeeping. Keep in mind Mexico has also already posted three clean sheets in the month of June, so Costa Rica is facing an uphill battle on Saturday.

Bet: Costa Rica Under 0.5 Goals (+106)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.