Kyle Nelson vs Blake Bilder Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 289 (Nelson's Recent Struggles Continue)

Nelson vs Bilder Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 289 — Preliminary Card Featherweight Bout
Kyle Nelson (13-5-1, 5 KOs) vs. Blake Bilder (8-0-1, 1 KO)
Date: Saturday, June 10, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 8 p.m. ET.
Venue: Rogers Place — Vancouver, British Columbia
Coverage: ESPN, ESPN+

Nelson vs Bilder Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 289 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Kyle Nelson (+198)
- Blake Bilder: (-240)

Method of Victory:
- Nelson by KO/TKO: (+500)
- Nelson by Points: (+600)
- Nelson by Submission: (+1200)
- Bilder by KO/TKO: (+500)
- Bilder by Points: (+260)
- Bilder by Submission: (+190)

Nelson vs Bilder Prediction

Kyle Nelson's stock was as high as could be when he joined the UFC with a 12-1 record. Unfortunately, he's found nearly zero success since then, going 1-4-1 in his last six fights. He was finished in three of those bouts (twice by KO/TKO, once by submission) and is coming off a majority draw against Choi Doo-ho in February.

On the other side, Blake Bilder will do everything in his power to remain undefeated. The St. Paul, MN native is currently on a six-fight winning streak, having finished four of his previous five foes. He most recently made his PPV debut at UFC 284, overcoming Shane Young by unanimous decision.

There's no reason to doubt the hot hand here. Nelson looks washed and hasn't won a fight in nearly four years. Meanwhile, Bilder is on a roll, showing no signs of needing to adjust to the UFC level. With three finishes within the first two rounds in his last five fights, I like Bilder's chances of ending things early against an opponent who likely doesn't have much of

Winner: Blake Bilder

Nelson vs Bilder Best Bet

For this showdown's best bet, let's go with Bilder winning by submission at +190 odds. Four of the 32-year-old's eight career wins have come by submission, which includes submitting Alex Morgan in his UFC debut.

Considering how easily Nelson has been finished combined with the fact that he's been submitted in the UFC before, all signs point to Bilder winning via submission again.

Bet: Blake Bilder to Win by Submission (+190)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.