Kansas State vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Big 12 Championship Game (TCU Completes Undefeated Season)

Kansas State vs TCU Big 12 Championship Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Kansas State Wildcats (9-3, 7-2 Big 12) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (12-0, 9-0 Big 12)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 3, 2022
Time: 12 p.m. ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium - Arlington, TX
Coverage: ABC

The regular season is over and only conference championships remain before the final College Football Playoff rankings. The fifth CFP Top 25 rankings are revealed on Tuesday, Nov. 29 on ESPN.

The Big 12 Championship Game features the currently ranked No. 12 Kansas State Wildcats and No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs, who remain undefeated following last week's destruction of Iowa State, 62-14.

Meanwhile, Kansas State won a rivalry shootout over Kansas, 47-27, to advance to the Big 12 Championship Game.

Kansas State vs TCU Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: KSU: (+118) | TCU: (-142)
Spread: KSU: +2.5 (-110) | TCU: -2.5 (-110)
Total: 62.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

TCU enters this contest as a small favorite on the spread (-2.5) and moneyline (-142). A win by Kansas State returns +118. The total is currently 62.5 points - about a TD higher than average for a college football over/under this season.

Kansas State vs TCU Prediction & Pick

What a season for TCU and new head coach Sonny Dykes. The 12-0 Frogs have exceeded all expectations after going just 5-7 last year, beating all comers this season including Kansas State in a 38-28 home win on Oct. 22. TCU trailed 28-17 at halftime in that one, only to roar back in the second half and come away with a huge win.

Now they'll meet again with a conference championship on the line. Kansas State does have the Big 12's No. 1 scoring defense (19 PPG), while TCU sports the Big 12's No. 1 scoring offense (41 PPG). The Wildcats struggle throwing the ball, however, ranking last in the conference with just 211 passing yards per game.

That said, both quarterbacks protect the ball well and limit interceptions. Kansas State excels on special teams while also ranking No. 2 in the country in turnover margin, but the Wildcats will need to force a few more turnovers here if they want to take down the Frogs.

Final Score Prediction: TCU: 34 | Kansas State: 24

Kansas State vs TCU Betting Trends

- Kansas State is 4-1 SU/ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone Over in 6 of K-State's last 9 games.
- TCU is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.
- TCU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone Under in 6 of TCU's last 7 games vs Kansas State.

Kansas State vs TCU Best Bet

Will Howard has done quite well for Kansas State since taking over for Adrian Martinez at quarterback. He's had some inconsistent passing moments, however, which will have to be cleaned up to beat TCU.

The Horned Frogs have been fortunate in a few wins, but they always find ways to make plays and finish. Their defense is also underrated and should be able to keep the Wildcats at bay.

Both teams are balanced on offense, but TCU is more explosive with QB Max Duggan. Running back Kendre Miller will carry a big load again for the Frogs after shredding the Wildcats for 153 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns in their last meeting.

Look for TCU's defense to turn in a solid performance and help the Frogs win the Big 12, punching their ticket to the CFP.

Bet: TCU -2.5 (-110)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.