East Carolina vs Cincinnati Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for College Football Week 11 Game on FanDuel

Updated: Sep 10, 5:00pm UTC

East Carolina vs Cincinnati Week 11 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
East Carolina (6-3, 3-2 American) vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (7-2, 4-1 American)
Date: Friday, Nov. 11, 2022
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Venue: Nippert Stadium — Cincinnati, OH
Coverage: ESPN

Week 11 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes an AAC battle between the East Carolina Pirates and Cincinnati Bearcats. Both teams are bowl eligible and among the better teams in the American Athletic Conference.

East Carolina enters off a bye week, and the Pirates have lost each of the last four years to Cincinnati. But under 4th year head coach Mick Houston, ECU is 12-7 ATS on the road.

East Carolina vs Cincinnati Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: ECU: (+180) | CIN: (-220)
Spread: ECU +6.5 (-115) | CIN: -6.5 (-105)
Total: 53.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Cincinnati enters this contest as a -6.5 spread favorite and -220 on the moneyline. The takeback on ECU to win is +180. The total is home favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This AAC clash also features a total of 52.5 points, which is up 5 points from the Sunday opener in Las Vegas.

East Carolina vs Cincinnati Prediction & Pick

The scoring stats are very similar for these two teams. Both Cincinnati and East Carolina average 33 points per game offense and have scored 37 and 38 touchdowns. On defense, Cincinnati has allowed 21 PPG and 24 TD's while ECU has given up 23 PPG and 25 touchdowns.

East Carolina QB Holton Ahlers is averaging 292 passing YPG with a league-best 70% completions. He'll face a Bearcats defense allowing just 180 passing YPG and league-low 54% completions and 6.1 yards per pass. Cincinnati LB Ivan Pace leads the conference with 9 sacks, tackles for loss and nearly 11 tackles per game, and the Bearcats get after the quarterback with an AAC-best 23 sacks.

The situational edge goes to ECU with an extra week of rest and prep off a bye. The Pirates have won three in a row and were good enough to win at BYU and hand UCF their only conference loss two games back 34-13 while rolling up 458 yards offense. Cincinnati lost to UCF two weeks ago and allowed 500 yards to the Knights while gaining just 333 yards offense themselves with just 35 rushing yards in a one-sided time of possession edge for Central Florida.

Final Score Prediction: ECU: 27 | Cincinnati: 24

East Carolina vs Cincinnati Betting Trends

- East Carolina is 4-1 straight up (SU) in their last 5 games, but on a 1-11 SU run vs Cincinnati.
- East Carolina is 12-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 17 games.
- Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games, but 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 contests.
- Cincinnati is 10-0 SU in their last 10 home games.
- The total has hit the Under in each of Cincinnati's last 5 games.

East Carolina vs Cincinnati Best Bet

East Carolina is one of the least penalized teams in the AAC with just 30 penalties, while Cincinnati is on the other end with 78. The Bearcats also allow too many sacks (23) of their quarterback and the red zone offense is one of the least efficient.

East Carolina is another capable underdog who has beaten one of the better conference teams in UCF and had road success under coach Houston. They'll have to play their best to beat a Bearcats team that has won 10 straight home games.