WNBA

WNBA Championship Odds Update: Can Anyone Catch the Aces?

Brandon Gdula
Brandon Gdula•@gdula13

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WNBA Championship Odds Update: Can Anyone Catch the Aces?

The 40-game WNBA season is nearing its midpoint, and one team is off to a dominant first half.

The Las Vegas Aces are 15-1 with their singular loss being a 94-77 blip against the Connecticut Sun in early June -- after a 90-84 win over them on the road two days prior.

As a result, the WNBA championship odds at FanDuel Sportsbook are heavily in their favor.

Here's a snapshot of each team's championship odds, win/loss record, and offensive, defensive, and net ratings.

WNBA
Championship
Odds
FanDuel
Sportsbook
Odds
Win-Loss
Record
Offensive
Rating
Defensive
Rating
Net
Rating
Las Vegas Aces-22015-1114.194.519.5
New York Liberty+23011-4107.298.98.3
Connecticut Sun+180012-5102.898.04.8
Washington Mystics+30009-798.094.73.3
Dallas Wings+80008-8101.699.91.7
Atlanta Dream+100007-8102.1105.3-3.1
Chicago Sky+100008-997.9101.4-3.4
Los Angeles Sparks+100007-1096.899.8-3.0
Indiana Fever+100005-11102.6106.6-4.0
Seattle Storm+200004-1296.9105.1-8.2
Minnesota Lynx+200007-998.6104.2-5.6
Phoenix Mercury+370003-1296.4107.2-10.8

Las Vegas Aces (-220)

The Aces' point differential of +15.6 is a full 8.8 points greater than any other team's.

A'ja Wilson ranks seventh in the WNBA in points per game (19.6) and fifth in rebounds per game (9.3). The Aces also have three other 14-point scorers: Jackie Young (19.0), Kelsey Plum (17.6), and Chelsea Gray (14.1).

All four are representing the Western Conference All-Stars this season, and their four All-Stars pace the WNBA.

The Aces are rating out in elite fashion across a ton of key stats. They're first in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.82), second in defensive rebounding rate (74.1%), first in effective field goal percentage (56.7%), and third in pace -- which only makes their gap more impactful due to more possessions to prove they're superior.

New York Liberty (+230)

The New York Liberty are second in, well, virtually everything behind the Aces.

They're second in point differential (+6.8) and are the only other team really close in title odds to the Aces.

They have a +8.3 net rating and are a cut above the rest in effective field goal percentage (53.2%), too.

Breanna Stewart's 22.0 points per game rank her third in the WNBA, and she's nearly averaging a 20/10 double-double (9.8 rebounds per game).

New York has three All-Stars (also second to the Aces) with Stewart, Courtney Vandersloot, and Sabrina Ionescu.

Connecticut Sun (+1800)

The only other team shorter than +3000 to win the title is the Connecticut Sun, the team that has the sole honor of having beaten the Aces this season.

The Sun had a balanced scoring trio of their own -- DeWanna Bonner (17.7), Brionna Jones (15.9), and Alyssa Thomas (14.4) -- but lost Jones for the season after a ruptured Achilles.

Via PBPStats.com, the Sun were 10-3 with Jones active and held a +5.5 net rating. In games without her, they are 2-2 with a net rating of +6.2. That notably includes consecutive losses to New York (89-81) and Las Vegas (102-84).

They still have two All-Stars with Bonner and Thomas, but things didn't get easier for them by any means in what seems like a three-team race for the title.


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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