WNBA Betting Picks and Player Props to Target for Sunday 6/16/24

The WNBA is back, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Chicago Sky at Indiana Fever

Sky ML (+110)
Marina Mabrey Over 18.5 Points and Assists (-114)

America might want Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever to beat Angel Reese's Chicago Sky, but Chi-Town is simply the better overall squad.

Even if you use Indiana's favorable net rating since Kelsey Mitchell returned on May 13th, Chicago's net rating (-1.9) crushes that of the Fever (-13.9). Indiana has the W's worst defensive rating in that stretch at 111.1.

Even homecourt for Indiana can't explain this line. It's simply the Reese-Clark feud getting support in the top pick's direction. Massey Ratings and DRatings average a 52.9% projected win probability for Chicago, which is an awesome proposition at +110.

Expect their top scorer to rebound against the porous Fever defense, too. Marina Mabrey averages a team-best 14.3 points per game but has combined for just 15 points in the last two games against superior defenses. She also averages 4.2 assists per contest.

Mabrey posted 17 points plus assists (PA) in these two clubs' first meeting -- but that was shooting 37.5% on 16 shots. Projected for 18.5 PA on Sunday by Rotowire, I prefer siding with the over to buy low entering a wonderful matchup.

Los Angeles Sparks at Atlanta Dream

Sparks Under 77.5 Points (-118)
Tina Charles to Record a Double-Double (+190)

The rebuilding Los Angeles Sparks have punched above their weight class a few times this season, but points should be tougher to come by on Sunday.

The Atlanta Dream are a nightmare for opponents to score points. It's not even their middle-of-the-road net rating (100.5) as much as the league's third-slowest pace (96.1). Plus, while vulnerable to three-point-capable teams, the Dream allow the fourth-fewest paint points per game (34.1).

That's really bad news for Dearica Hamby, Cameron Brink, and an L.A. squad that averages just 7.2 makes from deep per game overall. They've hit at least 76 points in each of their last four games, but the pace of Atlanta should bump them down from a recent average.

Since the Sparks' bevy of bigs are present, I also really like this prop for Atlanta's Tina Charles. The Dream's center is only average 11.8 points per game -- her lowest ever -- but has upped her rebounds per game (8.8) to her best mark since 2021. She's posted double-digit rebounds four different times.

Rotowire projects Charles for 12.0 points and 10.0 rebounds in a full role against L.A., so the +190 odds behind a projected double-double seem friendly.

Seattle Storm at Phoenix Mercury

Storm -2.5 (-110)
Diana Taurasi Under 15.5 Points (-128)

The Phoenix Mercury are 8-5 against the spread (ATS) and a reborn squad with Brittney Griner back in the fold. I still don't think they're ready for a one-basket spread against the Seattle Storm.

Phoenix's net rating since Griner's return is still just +1.1, paling in comparison to Seattle's (+4.9) as the Storm also play their best basketball of the season. With the new pieces finally gelling, Seattle has won eight of their last nine.

On defense, these teams aren't close. The Mercury still have a 105.8 dRTG since Griner returned, and they were last in the league with her last year. Seattle (95.4) has performed much better, and they're tied for the fourth-fewest three-point attempts allowed per game (22.0).

That last stat could also put an end to Diana Taurasi's scoring binge. The 41-year-old has topped 20 points in consecutive games as Kahleah Copper has struggled to 15-for-38 (39.5%) from the field. Especially with Griner in the fold, Taurasi will be hard-pressed to keep scoring in bunches.

Rotowire has the veteran projected for just 14.2 points on Sunday despite the recent binge of scoring, and Seattle's D is a significantly tougher test than what she faced against Las Vegas or Dallas.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.