Troy vs Georgia Southern College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Sun Belt Tournament Championship

The Sun Belt champion will be decided on Monday when the No. 1 seed Troy Trojans (21-11, 12-6 Sun Belt) and the No. 10 Georgia Southern Eagles (21-15, 8-10 Sun Belt) play at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Troy vs. Georgia Southern Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Monday, March 9, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Troy vs. Georgia Southern Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Troy win (70.4%)

Read the betting insights and trends below before making a bet on Monday's Troy-Georgia Southern spread (Troy -6.5) or over/under (148.5 points).

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Troy vs. Georgia Southern: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Troy has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• Georgia Southern has won 16 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 17 times.
• Troy (5-7) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 6.5 points or more this season (41.7%) than Georgia Southern (2-2) does as a 6.5+-point underdog (50%).
• The Trojans have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 11 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered eight times in 16 opportunities in road games.
• This season, the Eagles are 5-7-0 at home against the spread (.417 winning percentage). On the road, they are 7-7-0 ATS (.500).
• Troy has 10 wins against the spread in 19 conference games this year.
• Georgia Southern is 10-12-0 against the spread in Sun Belt games this season.

Troy vs. Georgia Southern: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Troy has won in 14, or 63.6%, of the 22 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Trojans have come away with a win 10 times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -275 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Georgia Southern has been the underdog on the moneyline 17 total times this season. Georgia Southern has finished 7-10 in those games.
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +220 or longer, the Eagles have a record of 1-3 (25%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Troy has a 73.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Troy vs. Georgia Southern Head-to-Head Comparison

• Troy outscores opponents by 6.9 points per game (scoring 80.4 per game to rank 80th in college basketball while allowing 73.5 per outing to rank 172nd in college basketball) and has a +221 scoring differential overall.
• Troy's leading scorer, Victor Valdes, ranks 305th in college basketball scoring 14.9 points per game.
• Georgia Southern puts up 81.5 points per game (59th in college basketball) while allowing 79.8 per outing (325th in college basketball). It has a +61 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 1.7 points per game.
• Tyren Moore's 16.2 points per game leads Georgia Southern and ranks 207th in college basketball.
• The Trojans prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 3.4 boards. They are collecting 34.9 rebounds per game (47th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 31.5 per contest.
• Thomas Dowd paces the team with 10.0 rebounds per game (15th in college basketball play).
• The Eagles pull down 30.4 rebounds per game (267th in college basketball) while allowing 34.3 per contest to opponents. They are outrebounded by 3.9 boards per game.
• Alden Applewhite averages 6.0 rebounds per game (285th in college basketball) to lead the Eagles.
• Troy's 99.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 145th in college basketball, and the 90.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 68th in college basketball.
• The Eagles rank 121st in college basketball averaging 100.0 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 256th, allowing 97.9 points per 100 possessions.

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