Timberwolves vs. Nuggets NBA Playoffs Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 23

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Target Center -- Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Coverage: Amazon Prime Video

The Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves meet in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets are favored by 1.5 points in the matchup, which airs on Amazon Prime Video at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 234.5 points.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Timberwolves win (55.4%)

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Nuggets have covered the spread 44 times in 82 games with a set spread.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 38-44-0 this season.
• Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over 52 times this season.
• Timberwolves games this season have hit the over 37 times in 82 opportunities (45.1%).
• Against the spread, Denver has played worse at home, covering 20 times in 41 home games, and 24 times in 41 road games.
• When it comes to point totals, the Nuggets hit the over less consistently in home games, as they've gone over the total 23 times in 41 opportunities this season (56.1%). In away games, they have hit the over 29 times in 41 opportunities (70.7%).
• Minnesota has been better against the spread on the road (20-21-0) than at home (18-23-0) this year.
• Looking at the over/under, Timberwolves games have finished over 14 of 41 times at home (34.1%), and 23 of 41 away (56.1%).

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic is averaging 27.7 points, 10.7 assists and 12.9 rebounds.
• Jamal Murray's numbers on the season are 25.4 points, 4.4 boards and 7.1 assists per contest, shooting 48.3% from the floor and 43.5% from beyond the arc (seventh in league), with an average of 3.3 made treys (fifth in NBA).
• Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 13.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Bruce Brown is averaging 7.9 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Cameron Johnson is averaging 12.2 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists.

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 21.1 points for the Timberwolves, plus 6.7 boards and 5 assists.
• Per game, Anthony Edwards provides the Timberwolves 28.8 points, 5 rebounds and 3.7 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert's numbers on the season are 10.9 points, 11.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. He is making 68.2% of his shots from the field (first in NBA).
• Naz Reid averages 13.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.2 assists. He is making 45.6% of his shots from the field and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 treys per game.
• Per game, Donte DiVincenzo gets the Timberwolves 12.2 points, 4.1 boards and 3.8 assists, plus 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocks.

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