Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 9

Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 9, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: Peacock

The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-15) are 6.5-point favorites as they look to extend a five-game winning streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (39-25) on Monday, March 9, 2026 at Paycom Center. The contest airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on Peacock. The matchup's point total is 232.5.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (73%)

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

• The Thunder have put together a 31-33-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Nuggets have played 64 games, with 35 wins against the spread.
• This season, Thunder games have hit the over 35 times out of 64 chances.
• Nuggets games this year have hit the over on 40 of 64 set point totals (62.5%).
• Oklahoma City sports a worse record against the spread when playing at home (15-18-0) than it does in away games (16-15-1).
• The Thunder have gone over the over/under less often when playing at home, hitting the over in 16 of 33 home matchups (48.5%). On the road, they have hit the over in 19 of 32 games (59.4%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Denver has a lower winning percentage at home (.467, 14-16-0 record) than on the road (.618, 21-13-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Nuggets games have finished over less often at home (16 of 30, 53.3%) than on the road (24 of 34, 70.6%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.6 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.4 assists.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.3 points, 9 rebounds and 1.8 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 1.9 blocked shots (third in league).
• Cason Wallace averages 8.9 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists.
• Ajay Mitchell's numbers on the season are 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game, shooting 48.7% from the field and 35% from downtown, with an average of 1.1 made 3-pointers.
• Isaiah Joe averages 11 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists, shooting 44% from the field and 41.1% from downtown, with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest.

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic averages 28.8 points for the Nuggets, plus 12.5 boards and 10.3 assists.
• The Nuggets receive 25.5 points per game from Jamal Murray, plus 4.3 boards and 7.2 assists.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 13.7 points, 2.6 boards and 1.3 assists. He is sinking 45.4% of his shots from the field and 40.2% from 3-point range, with 2.7 triples per contest.
• Per game, Bruce Brown provides the Nuggets 7.6 points, 4 rebounds and 2.2 assists, plus 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Jonas Valanciunas' numbers on the season are 8.6 points, 5 boards and 1.2 assists per game. He is draining 57.4% of his shots from the field.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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