Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 26 (Expect Fireworks at the Chase Center)

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Sunday, February 26, 2023
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: ESPN, NBCS-BA, and BSN

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Sunday with nine more games, including a battle between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors. The Timberwolves rank eighth in the Western Conference with a 31-31 record, while the Warriors check in seventh with an improving 30-30 record.

Minnesota enters as a loser in four of its last six games following a 121-113 loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Friday. Meanwhile, Golden State has won six of its last seven home games thanks to a 116-101 win over the Houston Rockets on Friday. Which Western Conference threat will win tonight?

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

• All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: GSW: (-138) | MIN: (+118)
• Spread: GSW: -2.5 (-108) | MIN: +2.5 (-112)
• Total: 234 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Bucks enter this contest as small home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 230.5 points, which is above average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Betting Information

Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Warriors	-2.5	-	-	232.5	-110	-110	-144	122

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Warriors won 41 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover or pushing 41 times.
• Against the spread, as underdogs of 2.5 points or more, the Timberwolves went 14-15 last season.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 34 times in Warriors games.
• The Timberwolves had 49 of their 82 games hit the over last season.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

Both the Timberwolves and Warriors find themselves at the .500 mark with just over a month of regular season action left. The goal remains to get a top six seed in the West in order to avoid the play-in tournament, but only one squad will get closer to that goal with a victory on Sunday night.

I find myself leaning toward the Warriors being that team simply due to their dominance at the Chase Center. Golden State is 23-7 at home this season as it averages an impressive 120.1 points per game (No. 5 in NBA). Minnesota is 11-17 on the road with a -3.0 average scoring margin (No. 18 in NBA).

Golden State has won six of its last seven home games and that trend should improve tonight.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors: 123 | Timberwolves: 117

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Best Bet

There's some value in backing Golden State as a small home favorite here, but there's even more value in backing a high-scoring game to break out. The Timberwolves are averaging a reliable 115.7 points per game (No. 10 in NBA) and the Warriors rank 11th when it comes to offensive efficiency.

Keep in mind Golden State plays at the fastest pace in the NBA, while Minnesota plays at the third-fastest pace. The total has hit the over in six of the Timberwolves' last eight games and in eight of the Warriors' last 12 games. The over has cashed in eight of the last nine games between these squads.

Bet: Over 234 Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.