USA vs Mexico Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for CONCACAF Nations League Semifinal (American Attack Strikes Early)

The 2022-23 CONCACAF Nations League continues on Thursday with a semifinal matchup between the United States and Mexico.

USA vs Mexico Match Info

2022-23 CONCACAF Nations League Semifinal
USA vs. Mexico
Date: Thursday, June 15, 2023
Time: 10 p.m. ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium — Las Vegas, Nevada
Coverage: Paramount+

The USA advanced to the semifinals by going 3-1-0 (W-D-L) in the group stage, most recently picking up a 1-0 victory over El Salvador on March 27. Meanwhile, Mexico went 2-2-0 in the group stage and played Jamaica to a 2-2 draw in its latest outing on March 26.

USA vs Mexico Odds & Spread

All CONCACAF Nations League betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: USA: (+140) | MEX: (+185) | Draw (+210)
Spread: USA: -1 (+480) | MEX: +1 (-230)
Total: 2.5 – Over: (+126) | Under: (-160)
Team to Score the First Goal: USA: (-105) | MEX: (+105) I NO GOALS: (+700)

USA enters this contest as the favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 2.5 goals with the Under being favored at -160 odds.

USA vs Mexico Prediction & Pick

Although Mexico initially dominated this rivalry, success has been on the USA's side in recent years. The Americans have seven victories in their last 16 matchups with the Mexicans, whereas the latter only has four wins over that stretch. In fact, Mexico hasn't beaten the United States since September 2019 — a span of five matches.

Both teams played well defensively in the group stage as the USA only surrendered 2 goals while Mexico gave up 1. Having said that, the United States' offense was more impressive, averaging 3.5 goals per contest while Mexico averaged 2.0. That isn't exactly good news considering that the Mexican squad only has 1 goal in its last four matchups against its American counterpart.

With recent history and an impressive offense on its side, look for the United States to advance past Mexico.

Final Score Prediction: United States: 2 | Mexico: 0

USA vs Mexico Betting Trends

- USA defeated Mexico, 3-2, in the 2019-20 CONCACAF Nations League Final.
- USA is 2-2-1 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
- Mexico is 2-3-0 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
- USA is 3-2-0 (W-D-L) in its last five matchups against Mexico.

USA vs Mexico Best Bet

For this matchup's best bet, let's ride with USA scoring the first goal at -105 odds. After all, not only do the Americans have the best offense in the tournament, but they've also scored first in each of their last four meetings with Mexico. With the home-field advantage also being on the United States' side, I expect the favorite to get off to a hot start.

Bet: USA to Score First Goal (-105)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.