Tereza Bleda vs Gabriella Fernandes Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC Vegas 75 (Flyweight Bout Goes the Distance)

Bleda vs Fernandes Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC Vegas 75 — Preliminary Card Flyweight Bout
Tereza Bleda (6-1-0, 2 KOs) vs. Gabriella Fernandes (8-2-0, 3 KOs)
Date: Saturday, June 17, 2023
Fight Time: This fight will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 7 p.m. ET.
Venue: UFC APEX — Las Vegas, NV
Coverage: ESPN, ESPN2

Bleda vs Fernandes Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC Vegas 75 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Tereza Bleda: (-245)
- Gabriella Fernandes: (+200)

Method of Victory:
- Bleda by KO/TKO: (+460)
- Bleda by Points: (+135)
- Bleda by Submission: (+500)
- Fernandes by KO/TKO: (+750)
- Fernandes by Points: (+460)
- Fernandes by Submission: (+950)

Bleda vs Fernandes Prediction

Two fighters looking to bounce back after tough losses meet on the preliminary card. Tereza Bleda was taken down via KO/TKO by Natalia Silva her last time in the octagon in November, while Gabriella Fernandes couldn't keep up with Jasmine Jasudavicius in a unanimous decision loss in February.

There's a lot to like about Bleda's chances of controlling this fight from the start. She enters Saturday with a 3-inch height advantage and 3.5-inch reach advantage over Fernandes, which will prove crucial when the fight is upright. On the ground, Bleda averages 1.1 submission attempts per 15 minutes.

Fernandes' quick turnaround could prove costly considering four months is a short amount of time to not only figure out what went wrong in her UFC debut, but to fix those weaknesses as well. Bleda was on a six-bout winning streak prior to her loss against Silva and I expect her to get back on track.

Winner: Tereza Bleda (-245)

Bleda vs Fernandes Best Bet

Bettors looking to back Bleda should do so via points (+135), but I lean toward backing the fight to go the distance (-132) here because it provides a bit of leeway if a surprising upset was to occur. Keep in mind three of Fernandes' last five fights have come down to the judges, anyways. Both fighters know what it takes to avoid falling victim to a finish and tend to lean on their endurance to come out on top.

Bet: Fight to Go the Distance (-132)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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