Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for June 16 (New York's Bats Wake Up in Series Opener)

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For the second time in a week, the Boston Red Sox (34-35) and New York Yankees (39-30) will clash in the latest chapter of baseball's most storied rivalry. After dropping two of three to Boston last weekend in the Bronx, New York will be out for revenge on Friday night at Fenway Park.
Red Sox vs Yankees Game Info
- Date: Friday, June 16, 2023
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Venue: Fenway Park – Boston, MA
- Coverage: NESN, YES, MLB Network
The Red Sox and Yankees will reconvene on Friday after grinding out a tense, low-scoring series at Yankee Stadium last weekend. All three games featured five runs or less, which was unusual for two clubs that are usually offensive powerhouses.
Since then, Boston lost two out of three to the Colorado Rockies at home to fall below .500, while New York split a two-game series with the crosstown Mets.
Red Sox vs Yankees Odds & Spread
- All MLB betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: BOS: (-118) | NYY: (+100)
- Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+150) | NYY: +1.5 (-182)
- Total: 10 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)
The Red Sox enter this contest as slight home favorites on the moneyline and run line at FanDuel Sportsbook. This AL East rivalry game also has a projected total of 10 runs with the Under being favored at -120 odds.
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Trends
- Boston is 4-9 straight up in its last 13 games against an AL opponent.
- The Red Sox have lost 15 of their last 23 games overall.
- The Yankees are 18-13 straight up on the road and 21-10 on the run line.
- New York is 9-3 in its last 12 road games.
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction & Pick
Both teams were off on Thursday but neither is playing particularly well at the moment. The Red Sox offense has been sputtering lately, averaging just 3.1 runs per game over its last 12. The Yankees' lineup has also been lost at sea without reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge, averaging just 3.4 runs per game over its last 12.
Both offenses will look to get back on track tonight in an intriguing pitching matchup between Domingo German and Tanner Houck. German has been strong for New York, going 4-3 with a 3.49 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP.
Houck, on the other hand, has struggled for Boston after moving from the bullpen to the rotation. He's had issues surviving multiple trips through the order and checks in with a 3-6 record and a 5.23 ERA.
The Yankees are the better team and have the better starting pitcher on the mound, so look for them to kick off the weekend with a W.
Final Score Prediction: Yankees: 5 | Red Sox: 3
Red Sox vs Yankees Best Bet
I'm tempted by the Under with both offenses struggling to score runs, but I'll go with the Yankees on the moneyline at plus odds. Friday looks like a clear pitching mismatch in favor of New York, which still has enough thump without Judge to do some damage against Houck. Expect the Yankees to jump out to an early lead and hold it with their rested bullpen.
Bet: New York Yankees Moneyline (+100)
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.