Maryland vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for 2022 Mayo Bowl (Terps Take Down the Wolfpack)

Maryland vs NC State Mayo Bowl Game Info

2022 College Football Game - Mayo Bowl
Maryland Terrapins (7-5) vs No. 23 NC State Wolfpack (8-4)
Date: Friday, Dec. 30, 2022
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium — Charlotte, NC
Coverage: ESPN

With the 2022-23 college football regular season in the rearview mirror, bowl games are right around the corner. The Duke's May Bowl is set for kickoff on Friday, Dec. 30, and pits the Big Ten's Maryland Terrapins against the ACC's No. 23-ranked NC State Wolfpack.

Maryland vs NC State Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MD: (-120) | NCST: (+100)
Spread: MD: -1.5 (-110) | NCST: +1.5 (-110)
Total: 47.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Maryland enters this contest as a very slight favorite on the spread (-1.5) and moneyline (-120). This clash also features a lower total of 47.5 points, which is below average when compared to the rest of the college football bowl game slate.

Maryland vs NC State Prediction & Pick

These former ACC rivals have matched up more than 70 times, but this is the first time since 2013. Maryland scored at least 27 points in every game this season except a pair of early November road games at Wisconsin (23-10) and Penn State (30-0). Terps QB Taulia Tagovailoa has passed for 2,787 yards this season with 17 TD passes. However, Maryland allowed a Big Ten high 39 sacks this season.

The questionable quarterback situation for NC State makes it tougher to determine how to play this game. NC State scored 22 or less points in six of their last eight games with top QB Devin Leary missing most those games and MJ Morris starting more. But Ben Finley started the last two games and passed for 472 yards. The linemaker has adjusted the total downward and this is the lowest total in a Maryland game this season.

NC State has the ACC's top-rated pass efficiency defense. The Wolfpack do allow 233 passing yards per game at 6.8 yards per pass, and Maryland's pass defense state profile is slightly better allowing 219 YPG and 6.3 yards per pass.

Final Score Prediction: Maryland: 27 | NC State: 23

Maryland vs NC State Betting Trends

- Maryland is 1-3 straight up (SU) in their last 4 games.
- Maryland is 1-3 SU and against the spread (ATS) away from home vs FBS foes this season.
- NC State is 3-3 SU/ATS in their last 6 games.
- NC State is 1-3 SU/ATS away from home vs FBS foes this season.

Maryland vs NC State Best Bet

The coaching edge favors Dave Doeren of NC State vs Mike Locksley of Maryland. Doeren has also coached in six bowl games to one for Locksley. NC State has a regional edge playing in-state and 2.5 hour drive from campus in Raleight to Charlotte. Since 2015, head coaches with an experience advantage in coaching bowl games have gone 144-99 SU and 142-99-2 ATS (58.9%). Teams with a regional regional advantage are 36-29 ATS in the last 66 situations including 10-9 ATS over the last 3 years, per VSiN.

Maryland has played a tougher schedule in a stronger conference. While the Terps beat the lousy conference teams and lost all five games to Big Ten opponents with winning records, we'll still lean their way in support of early money on the Terps and a better offense, quarterback and capable defense.

Bet: Maryland -1.5 (-110)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.