Jets vs Bills Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 14 (Bills Extend Lead in AFC East)

Jets vs Bills Week 14 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season Game
New York Jets (7-5, 4-2 Away) vs. Buffalo Bills (9-3, 4-1 Home)
Date: Sunday, Dec. 11, 2022
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium — Buffalo, NY
Coverage: CBS

Week 14 of the 2022 NFL season includes an AFC East showdown between the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills.

After undergoing a quarterback change two weeks ago, the Jets and Mike White hit the road but a late rally came up just in a 27-22 loss vs the Minnesota Vikings. White completed 31-of-57 passes for 369 yards and zero TD's, but 2 INT's were costly in defeat.

Meanwhile, the Bills have won 3-straight games including back-to-back Thursday wins over the Detroit Lions and New England Patriots. At 9-3, the Bills are currently the Super Bowl favorite (+370) at FanDuel Sportsbook and currently positioned as the No. 1 seed for the AFC Playoffs.

Jets vs Bills Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: NYJ: (+340) | BUF: (-430)
Spread: NYJ: +9.5 (-110) | BUF: -9.5 (-110)
Total: 43.5 —Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

The Bills enter this contest as a significant home favorites on the spread (-9.5) and moneyline (-430) on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This game also features an over/under of 43.5, which is about average compared to the 2022 NFL season scoring average of 44.0 points per game.  

Jets vs Bills Prediction & Pick

The Jets beat the Bills 20-17 as an 11-point home underdog back in Week 7. The yardage was nearly even (317-310) along with yards per play (5.2) as the Bills were held to a season-low 317 yards offense. New York went to the ground game with 34 rushes for 174 yards. Even with Mike White now at quarterback, a similar game script will be tried, but likely less success.

The Bills defense DVOA is No. 4 this season and just as strong in recent weighted games including No. 3 against the run. Josh Allen threw 2 INT's and was sacked 5 times against the Jets in Week 9, but also led the Bills in rushing with 86 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Buffalo is averaging 6.2 yards per play offense, and the Jets 5.3 although better the last two games with White at quarterback. Still, the Bills co-lead the AFC with a +1.0 yards per play differential to the Jets + 0.5 and White will have a tougher time in Buffalo after throwing 2 INT's last week at Minnesota.

Final Score Prediction: Bills: 30 | Jets: 16

Jets vs Bills Trends

- The Jets are 6-3 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games.
- The total has gone Under in 5 of the Jets last 7 games.
- The Bills are 8-1 SU in their last 9 home games.
- The Bills are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in December.
- The total has gone Under in 8 of Buffalo's last 10 games.

Jets vs Bills Best Bet

Playing on the road in Buffalo is one of the toughest challenges for an inexperienced quarterback. Mike White will be in trouble if he's passing more than 40 times again against the Bills No. 3 ranked DVOA defense. The Jets were just 1-for-6 scoring TD's in the red zone against the Vikings.

Monitor the weather as rain is in the advance forecast with 10 MPH winds and near freezing temperatures. Wait to bet as the line likely dips and the Bills get their redemption over the Jets with a solid home win.

Bet: Buffalo -9.5 (-110)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.