Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for November 27 (Butler's Absence Plays Surprising Factor)

Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Sunday, November 27, 2022
• Time: 5:00 PM ET
• Venue: State Farm Arena -- Atlanta, Georgia
• Coverage: BSSUN and BSSE

Sunday's busy slate of NBA action continues with a 5 p.m. ET clash between the Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks. The Heat rattled off back-to-back wins against the Washington Wizards but are still two games under .500 at 9-11 on the year. This team is also 1-7 when playing on the road.

On the other side is a Hawks' squad that's lost three of their last five games. They are, however, 7-3 when playing at State Farm Arena.

Hawks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

• All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: ATL: (-194) | MIA: (+162)
• Spread: ATL: -5 (-110) | MIA: +5 (-110)
• Total: 225 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

Atlanta enters this contest as a solid 5-point favorite while playing at home. They Hawks have -110 odds to cover the 5-point spread and are considered -194 favorites on the moneyline. The 225-point over/under is the third-highest point total on today's slate.

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Hawks have put together a 7-10-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Heat have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 5.5 points or more (in four chances).
• Hawks games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 10 times out of 20 chances this season.
• The Heat have gone over the point total 50% of the time this year (10 of 20 games with a set point total).
• Atlanta has done a better job covering the spread at home (4-5-0) than it has in road games (3-5-0).
• This season, Miami is 3-8-1 at home against the spread (.250 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-5-0 ATS (.375).

Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

The big news in this matchup surrounds superstar guard Jimmy Butler. Butler was ruled out ahead of this contest, although his absence (7 games) hasn't been as crushing as you'd think. The Heat are just 3-4 without their best player this season and actually have a better defensive rating when he's off the court.

Atlanta is the better team with all of Miami's injuries, but I expect this game to play closer than we think. Atlanta holds just a 0.2 plus-minus figure in overall scoring, meaning this game will come down to the wire.

Final Score Prediction: Hawks: 110 | Heat: 107

Hawks vs. Heat Best Bet

Backing the Heat to cover the 5-point spread will only net us with -110 odds. For much more favorable odds, let's take a look at the win margin. Bet the Hawks to win by 1-10 points for much better +170 odds.

Bet: Hawks Win Margin (1-10) +170

Adam Taylor McKillop is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Adam Taylor also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username atmckillop. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.