Cincinnati vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for 2022 Fenway Bowl (Elite Defenses Meet in Low-Scoring Game)

Cincinnati vs Louisville Fenway Bowl Game Info

2022 College Football Game - Fenway Bowl
Cincinnati Bearcats (9-3) vs. Louisville Cardinals (7-5)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022
Time: 11:00 a.m. ET
Venue: Fenway Park — Boston, MA
Coverage: ESPN

With the 2022-23 college football regular season in the rearview mirror, bowl games are right around the corner. The Fenway Bowl is set for kickoff on Saturday, Dec. 17, and pits the Cincinnati Bearcats against the Louisville Cardinals. This will be each team's first ever appearance at the Fenway Bowl.

Cincinnati finished the season with a 9-3 record, but failed to qualify for the AAC Championship for the first time since 2019. Meanwhile, Louisville posted a winning record (7-5) for the first time since 2019 despite a few devastating injuries. Keep in mind each team is dealing with a shaky head coaching situation.

Cincinnati vs Louisville Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: CIN: (+106) | LOUIS: (-128)
Spread: CIN: +1.5 (-106) | LOUIS: -1.5 (-114)
Total: 44.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Louisville enters this contest as a slight favorite on the moneyline and spread. This clash also features a total of 44.5 points, which ranks as one of the lowest among the college football bowl game slate.

Cincinnati vs Louisville Prediction & Pick

Cincinnati will be without long-time leader Luke Fickell as he opted to take the open job at Wisconsin. On the other side, Louisville's Scott Satterfield has decided to accept the job left behind by Fickell and join Cincinnati. It is unclear whether Satterfield will finish out the season with the Cardinals or not.

No matter who is coaching each team on the sideline, the edge here goes to Cincinnati. The Bearcats average 27.7 points per game away from home, which greatly outshines Louisville's mark of 20.5. Cincinnati also enters the Fenway Bowl winning three of their last four games of the regular season.

Cincinnati holds a 33-22-1 all-time record against Louisville as well, so I'll back the Bearcats here.

Final Score Prediction: Cincinnati: 21 | Louisville: 20

Cincinnati vs Louisville Betting Trends

- Cincinnati is 3-8-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.
- The total has hit the over in six of Cincinnati's 12 games this season.
- Louisville is 7-5 ATS this season.
- The total has hit the under in eight of Louisville's 12 games this season.

Cincinnati vs Louisville Best Bet

This one is a true toss up, so shifting gears to the point total is a logical move. The under has cashed in five of Louisville's last six games as well as in six of Cincinnati's last eight games. The status of some of these players is up in the air with opt-outs, too, which makes backing the under a safe move.

Both of these defense have simply been outstanding this season. The Bearcats allow only 21.3 points points per game (No. 23 in FBS) on 335.4 yards of offense (No. 24 in FBS). The Cardinals give up just 20.2 points per game (No. 13 in FBS) on 347.6 yards of offense (No. 29 in FBS). Trust the statistics.

Bet: Under 44.5 Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.