Ashlee Evans-Smith vs Ailin Perez Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC Vegas 77 (Argentinian Captures First UFC Win)

Evans-Smith vs Perez Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC Vegas 77 — Preliminary Card Bantamweight Bout
Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5, 3 KOs) vs. Ailin Perez (7-2, 4 KOs)
Date: Saturday, July 15, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 7 p.m. ET.
Venue: UFC Apex — Las Vegas, NV
Coverage: ESPN+

Evans-Smith vs Perez Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC Vegas 77 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Ashlee Evans-Smith: (+164)
- Ailin Perez: (-215)

Method of Victory:
- Evans-Smith by KO/TKO: (N/A)
- Evans-Smith by Points: (N/A)
- Evans-Smith by Submission: (N/A)
- Perez by KO/TKO: (N/A)
- Perez by Points: (N/A)
- Perez by Submission: (N/A)

Evans-Smith vs Perez Prediction

UFC fans haven't seen Ashlee Evans-Smith in the octagon in over 32 months as her last fight came in November of 2020. That was when she lost to Norma Dumont via unanimous decision, which was her fourth loss in her last five bouts overall. Her return on Saturday comes with some question marks.

Meanwhile, Ailin Perez last fought at the UFC level in September of 2022 when she lost to Stephanie Egger via submission. The 28-year-old is at her best when she can rack up takedowns and get on top of her opponent. Perez uses that advantageous position to then earn a knockout or decision victory.

This prediction is more about Evans-Smith's lack of success more than anything else. The American fighter has posted one victory since the calendar turned to 2017 and now faces an opponent eight years younger than her. Perez can lean on her cardio to outlast Evans-Smith inside the UFC Apex.

Winner: Ailin Perez

Evans-Smith vs Perez Best Bet

The only thing Evans-Smith has working in her favor is that both her strike defense and takedown defense rates check in at least 55%. That means she should be in the fight early on. She is going to run out of gas, though, and that is when Perez will take over. Backing the Argentinian to win via decision is the best bet considering three of Evans-Smith's last four losses have been by that result.

Bet: Ailin Perez by Decision (TBD)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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