Texas vs Ole Miss College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 10 seed Texas Longhorns (18-13, 9-9 SEC) square off against the No. 15 seed Ole Miss Rebels (12-19, 4-14 SEC) in the SEC tournament Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas vs. Ole Miss Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Texas vs. Ole Miss Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Texas win (75.7%)

Take a look at these betting trends and insights before you bet on Wednesday's Texas-Ole Miss spread (Texas -6.5) or total (143.5 points).

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Texas vs. Ole Miss: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas is 16-14-0 ATS this season.
• Ole Miss is 11-20-0 ATS this season.
• As a 6.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Ole Miss is 7-6 against the spread compared to the 6-7 ATS record Texas racks up as a 6.5-point favorite.
• The Longhorns have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 17 games when playing at home, and they've covered seven times in 10 games when playing on the road.
• Against the spread, the Rebels have had better results away (7-3-0) than at home (4-12-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Texas is 9-9-0 this year.
• Ole Miss is 8-10-0 against the spread in SEC play this season.

Texas vs. Ole Miss: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win seven times (58.3%) in those games.
• The Longhorns have a win-loss record of 5-3 when favored by -275 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Ole Miss has won 17.6% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (3-14).
• The Rebels have a record of 2-11 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +220 or longer (15.4%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas has a 73.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Texas vs. Ole Miss Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas averages 84.4 points per game (23rd in college basketball) while giving up 76.8 per outing (257th in college basketball). It has a +233 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 7.6 points per game.
• Dailyn Swain's team-leading 17.7 points per game ranks 112th in the country.
• Ole Miss puts up 75.3 points per game (193rd in college basketball) while allowing 75.9 per contest (234th in college basketball). It has a -20 scoring differential.
• AJ Storr's team-leading 15.0 points per game rank him 298th in college basketball.
• The Longhorns come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 8.0 boards. They are recording 34.8 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 26.8 per outing.
• Swain is 105th in college basketball play with 7.5 rebounds per game to lead the Longhorns.
• The Rebels pull down 30.2 rebounds per game (277th in college basketball) while conceding 32.5 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 2.3 boards per game.
• Malik Dia averages 5.8 rebounds per game (324th in college basketball) to lead the Rebels.
• Texas' 108.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 17th in college basketball, and the 98.3 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 264th in college basketball.
• The Rebels average 97.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (198th in college basketball), and concede 97.8 points per 100 possessions (253rd in college basketball).

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