Texas Tech vs Kansas State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 21

The Kansas State Wildcats (11-15, 2-11 Big 12) will attempt to stop a six-game road losing streak when they take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-7, 9-4 Big 12) on February 21, 2026 at United Supermarkets Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 21, 2026
• Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: FOX
• Location: Lubbock, Texas
• Arena: United Supermarkets Arena

Before you bet on Saturday's Texas Tech-Kansas State spread (Texas Tech -12.5) or over/under (158.5 points), see the betting insights and trends below.

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Texas Tech vs. Kansas State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Texas Tech has put together a 13-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Kansas State has put together an 11-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• As a 12.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, Texas Tech is 4-5 against the spread compared to the 1-2 ATS record Kansas State puts up as a 12.5-point underdog.
• The Red Raiders have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 13 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered four times in eight opportunities on the road.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Wildcats have a lower winning percentage at home (.250, 4-12-0 record) than away (.625, 5-3-0).
• Texas Tech is 8-5-0 against the spread in conference action this season.
• Kansas State has five wins against the spread in 13 Big 12 games this year.

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Texas Tech has been the moneyline favorite in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (78.9%) in those contests.
• The Red Raiders have not lost in eight games this year when favored by -1099 or better on the moneyline.
• Kansas State has been the moneyline underdog 15 total times this season. Kansas State has gone 3-12 in those games.
• The Wildcats have played in three games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +680 or longer without earning a win.
• Texas Tech has an implied victory probability of 91.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Texas Tech has a +236 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.1 points per game. It is putting up 81.4 points per game to rank 70th in college basketball and is allowing 72.3 per contest to rank 130th in college basketball.
• JT Toppin's team-leading 21.8 points per game ranks 11th in the nation.
• Kansas State has a +4 scoring differential, putting up 80.6 points per game (86th in college basketball) and giving up 80.4 (335th in college basketball).
• PJ Haggerty's team-leading 23.7 points per game rank him second in college basketball.
• The Red Raiders prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 3.6 boards. They are recording 34.5 rebounds per game (62nd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.9 per outing.
• Toppin leads the Red Raiders with 10.8 rebounds per game (sixth in college basketball action).
• The Wildcats fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. They are pulling down 30.9 rebounds per game (252nd in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 33.5.
• Haggerty's 5.1 rebounds per game lead the Wildcats and rank 543rd in college basketball.
• Texas Tech averages 103.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (59th in college basketball), and gives up 92 points per 100 possessions (106th in college basketball).
• The Wildcats score 96.7 points per 100 possessions (206th in college basketball), while conceding 96.5 points per 100 possessions (232nd in college basketball).

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