SMU vs Miami (OH) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Four

The SMU Mustangs (20-13) and the Miami (OH) RedHawks (31-1) will play on Wednesday with a spot in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament up for grabs. This First Four matchup starts at 9:15 p.m. ET, on truTV.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

SMU vs. Miami (OH) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
• Game time: 9:15 p.m. ET
• TV channel: truTV
• Location: Dayton, Ohio
• Arena: UD Arena

SMU vs. Miami (OH) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: SMU win (59%)

Before you wager on Wednesday's SMU-Miami (OH) spread (SMU -7.5) or total (161.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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SMU vs. Miami (OH): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• SMU has compiled a 15-18-0 record against the spread this season.
• Miami (OH) has put together a 19-10-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Against the spread, the Mustangs have performed better when playing at home, covering eight times in 18 home games, and four times in 11 road games.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the RedHawks have a lower winning percentage at home (.615, 8-5-0 record) than on the road (.714, 10-4-0).

SMU vs. Miami (OH): Moneyline Betting Stats

• SMU has been victorious in 16, or 84.2%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Mustangs have not lost in 12 games this year when favored by -310 or better on the moneyline.
• Miami (OH) has yet to lose a game it was the moneyline underdog this season, going 4-0.
• The RedHawks have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +245 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies SMU has a 75.6% chance of walking away with the win.

SMU vs. Miami (OH) Head-to-Head Comparison

• SMU was 40th in the country in points scored (79.9 per game) and 152nd in points allowed (71.3) last year.
• Last season, SMU was 43rd in the nation in rebounds (34.7 per game) and 53rd in rebounds conceded (29.0).
• At 15.9 assists per game last season, SMU was 42nd in college basketball.
• In terms of turnovers, SMU was 221st in college basketball in committing them (11.5 per game) last year. It was 112th in forcing them (12.0 per game).
• Last year Miami (OH) put up 80.6 points per game (31st-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 72.7 points per contest (204th-ranked).
• Miami (OH) grabbed 30.9 rebounds per game (239th-ranked in college basketball). It ceded 30.3 rebounds per contest (121st-ranked).
• Miami (OH) delivered 16.2 dimes per game, which ranked them 32nd in college basketball.
• Miami (OH) was 232nd in college basketball with 11.6 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 40th with 13.4 forced turnovers per game.

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