NBA

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Player Props

Zack Bussiere
Zack Bussiere•@ZackBussiere

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Coming off their 119-108 victory in Game 3 on Saturday, the Denver Nuggets hold a 3-0 lead over the Los Angeles Lakers heading into Game 4 at Crypto.com Arena on Monday night.

Game 4 tips off at 8:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

Here's how the Nuggets and Lakers stack up.

All NBA odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4 Betting Odds: Moneyline, Spread, and Total

  • Moneyline:
    • Nuggets: +132
    • Lakers: -156
  • Spread: Lakers -3.0 (-108)
  • Total: 224.5

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4 Projections

Win projections via numberFire.

  • Win Odds: 55.4% Nuggets

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4 Player Props: Total Points, and Double Double Odds

Nuggets vs. Lakers Advanced Stats Breakdown

nERD via numberFire. Adjusted offensive/defensive ratings, pace, and shot distribution via DunksAndThrees.

  • Nuggets:
    • nERD: 60.1 (7th)
    • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 116.9 (5th)
    • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 114.2 (18th)
    • Pace: 98.5 (21st)
    • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
      • Rim: 39.0% (2nd) - 66.5% (3rd)
      • Mid: 24.9% (12th) - 43.4% (13th)
      • 3PT: 36.1% (21st) - 37.9% (4th)
  • Lakers:
    • nERD: 53.2 (13th)
    • Adjusted Offensive Rating: 114.4 (20th)
    • Adjusted Defensive Rating: 113.9 (13th)
    • Pace: 101.3 (6th)
    • Shot Distribution and Efficiency:
      • Rim: 38.9% (4th) - 64.4% (10th)
      • Mid: 26.1% (16th) - 42.3% (22nd)
      • 3PT: 35.1% (26th) - 34.6% (25th)

Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 4 Analysis

After back-to-back home wins to open the series, Denver had their first opportunity to tarnish the Lakers' perfect postseason home record in Game 3. They capitalized, jumping out to a double-digit lead in the first quarter and fighting off several LA runs down the stretch to secure a pivotal road win.

Coming into Game 3, the Lakers' impressive play at home this postseason gave them a reason to be optimistic despite dropping the first two games of the series. They had tested the Nuggets on the road in Games 1 and 2 but failed to secure a win. In Game 3, Denver put the Lakers' home form to the test and came away with the win.

The 119 points conceded by Los Angeles was their most in a home game this postseason. The Nuggets shot 50.0% from the field and 41.5% from behind the arc. Entering Game 3, the Nuggets were leading the playoffs in points per road game (118.2), and the Lakers' much-heralded defense did little to stop that. Despite Nikola Jokic getting into foul trouble and playing four fewer minutes than he did in Games 1 and 2, Denver was still able to be the first team to win at LA in this season's playoffs.

Jamal Murray was a big reason why. In 42 minutes played, Murray recorded 37 points on 15-for-29 (51.7%) shooting from the floor and 5-of-11 (45.5%) shooting from three. He added 7 rebounds and 6 assists and posted the game's best plus/minus of +18.

Denver's primary issue on the road this postseason had been a defense that was allowing the eighth-most points per away game (115.0). In Game 3, they held the Lakers to 108 points, the second-fewest points the Nuggets have conceded in a road game during these playoffs. The Lakers shot 45.2% from the field and 31.3% from behind the arc and scored nearly 10 points less than their home average entering the game (117.7).

Where the Nuggets really excelled was turnovers, committing just 5 to the Lakers' 12. Austin Reaves (4) and D'Angelo Russell (3) combined for 7 turnovers, with Reaves posting the Lakers' worst plus/minus (-15) across his 40 minutes played. Russell posted a -12 in just 20 minutes.

Entering this series, Denver's and Los Angeles' postseason runs had been supported by excellent play at home. Down 3-0, the Lakers find themselves in the worst possible position, needing to take two games on the road to advance to the NBA Finals. Before they can think about that, they will need to gain some kind of foothold in the series by winning at home in Game 4.

As it stands, the Nuggets are favorites to win the series (-2500) and the NBA Finals (-190).


The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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