Northern Kentucky vs Wright State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Horizon League Tournament

The No. 1 seed Wright State Raiders (21-11, 15-5 Horizon League) and the No. 7 seed Northern Kentucky Norse (20-13, 10-10 Horizon League) face off in the Horizon League tournament Monday at Corteva Coliseum, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Wright State vs. Northern Kentucky Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Monday, March 9, 2026
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPNU
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Corteva Coliseum
Wright State vs. Northern Kentucky Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Wright State win (57.7%)
Before you wager on Monday's Wright State-Northern Kentucky spread (Wright State -1.5) or total (157.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.
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Wright State vs. Northern Kentucky: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Wright State has covered 19 times in 30 chances against the spread this season.
- Northern Kentucky is 13-17-0 ATS this year.
- Wright State covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point favorite or more 57.1% of the time. That's more often than Northern Kentucky covers as an underdog of 1.5 or more (40%).
- The Raiders own a worse record against the spread in home games (7-7-0) than they do in away games (10-4-0).
- In 2025-26 against the spread, the Norse have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 7-7-0 record) than on the road (.333, 5-10-0).
- Wright State's record against the spread in conference action is 14-7-0.
- Northern Kentucky has nine wins against the spread in 22 Horizon League games this season.
Wright State vs. Northern Kentucky: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Wright State has won in 16, or 76.2%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- This season, the Raiders have been victorious 15 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
- Northern Kentucky has won 40% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (4-6).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +104 or longer, the Norse have a 3-5 record (winning only 37.5% of their games).
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Wright State has a 55.6% chance of pulling out a win.
Wright State vs. Northern Kentucky Head-to-Head Comparison
- Offensively, Wright State was the 82nd-ranked squad in the country (77.3 points per game) last season. Defensively, it was 301st (76.4 points allowed per game).
- Wright State was 229th in college basketball in rebounds per game (31.1) and 114th in rebounds allowed (30.2) last season.
- At 15.2 assists per game last season, Wright State was 69th in the country.
- Wright State was 241st in the country in turnovers per game (11.7) and 322nd in turnovers forced (9.7) last season.
- Last year Northern Kentucky scored 71.8 points per game (239th-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 72 points per contest (182nd-ranked).
- With 30.7 boards per game, Northern Kentucky was 261st in college basketball. It ceded 31.5 rebounds per contest, which ranked 202nd in college basketball.
- Last year Northern Kentucky ranked 124th in college basketball in assists, putting up 14.2 per game.
- With 11.5 turnovers per game, Northern Kentucky was 221st in the country. It forced 12.8 turnovers per contest, which ranked 58th in college basketball.
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