Northern Iowa vs Evansville College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MVC Tournament

The No. 6 seed Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12, 11-9 MVC) and the No. 11 seed Evansville Purple Aces (7-24, 3-17 MVC) face off in the MVC tournament Thursday at Enterprise Center, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Northern Iowa vs. Evansville Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Arena: Enterprise Center

Northern Iowa vs. Evansville Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Northern Iowa win (90.6%)

Take a look at some betting trends for Northern Iowa (-14.5) versus Evansville on Thursday.

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Northern Iowa vs. Evansville: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Northern Iowa has put together a 15-14-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Evansville is 14-15-0 ATS this season.
• Northern Iowa hasn't covered the spread as a 14.5-point favorite or more this season, while Evansville covers as an underdog of 14.5 or more 50% of the time.
• The Panthers have a worse record against the spread in home games (7-9-0) than they do in road games (7-4-0).
• Against the spread, the Purple Aces have had better results away (7-6-0) than at home (6-7-0).
• Northern Iowa has 10 wins against the spread in 20 conference games this season.
• Evansville has covered the spread 10 times in 20 MVC games.

Northern Iowa vs. Evansville: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Northern Iowa has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (65.2%) in those contests.
• The Panthers have played as a favorite of -2500 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• Evansville has a 4-21 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 16% of those games).
• The Purple Aces have played as a moneyline underdog of +1100 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Northern Iowa has a 96.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Northern Iowa vs. Evansville Head-to-Head Comparison

• With 73.3 points scored per game and 67.4 points conceded last season, Northern Iowa was 194th in college basketball offensively and 50th defensively.
• Northern Iowa was 300th in the country in rebounds per game (29.9) and 70th in rebounds allowed (29.5) last year.
• Last season Northern Iowa was ranked 148th in the country in assists with 13.9 per game.
• At 10.2 turnovers committed per game and 10.7 turnovers forced last season, Northern Iowa was 87th and 234th in the country, respectively.
• While Evansville ranked in the bottom 25 in the nation in points per game last year with 66 (13th-worst), it ranked 137th in college basketball with 70.7 points surrendered per contest.
• Last year Evansville grabbed 29.3 boards per game (323rd-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 32.6 rebounds per contest (274th-ranked).
• Last season Evansville ranked 250th in college basketball in assists, dishing out 12.6 per game.
• Last season Evansville averaged 11.3 turnovers per game (201st-ranked in college basketball) and forced 10.5 turnovers per contest (250th-ranked).

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