NFL Win Totals: Will the Eagles Win at Least 12 Games?

The Philadelphia Eagles ended the 2022 season with a 14-3 record, finishing in first place in the NFC East and narrowly losing in the Super Bowl.

Their win total for 2023 is set at 11.5, per the NFL win totals at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Things went about as well as they possibly could for the Eagles last season, and they will look to avoid the Super Bowl hangover this year.

Will the Eagles surpass their listed win total in 2023?

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Philadelphia Eagles 2023 Outlook

Projected Win Total: 11.5

• Over: +108
• Under: -134

Odds to Make the Playoffs: -400
Odds to Win the NFC East: -110
Odds to Win the NFC: +330
Odds to Win the Super Bowl: +800

Key Offseason Coaching Changes:

• Offensive Coordinator: Brian Johnson replaces Shane Steichen
• Defensive Coordinator: Sean Desai replaces Jonathan Gannon

Why Philadelphia Could Go Over 11.5 Wins:

• Fantastic on Offense
• Stellar Offensive Line
• Elite Pass Defense

The Eagles had nearly everything go right for them in the regular season last year, which is why they were able to win 14 games. They had shown signs of promise in 2021, as they made the playoffs but lost in the first round.

The offense wasn't spectacular in 2021, but they made a big splash to change that, trading for A.J. Brown to give them a game-breaking wide receiver. Alongside second-year breakout receiver DeVonta Smith, the Philly passing game was in sync in 2022.

Dallas Goedert is one of the most reliable pass-catching tight ends in the NFL. These three weapons helped Jalen Hurts take a leap forward and become one of the most effective quarterbacks in the league.

Philly also had a great running game. It was ranked first by numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics. The personnel has changed, as the team has now brought in Rashaad Penny and D'Andre Swift. Penny has been one of the best big-play threats at the running back position over the past few years. Swift has always possessed talent, and a change of scenery may do wonders for him.

The Eagles were able to have one of the most efficient offenses in football last season due to the play of their offensive line. Jason Kelce has been one of the best centers in football over the past few years. Lane Johnson and Jordan Mailata have been solid at the tackle position, and Landon Dickerson has established himself as one of the best young guards in football.

The offensive line talent and continuity played a big role in the Eagles' offensive success last season. Philadelphia ranked in the top 10 in all of Football Outsiders' offensive line rushing metrics. They were slightly below average in adjusted sack rate, but some of that can be chalked up to Hurts extending plays.

Philadelphia wins in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Their defensive line consists of stalwarts like Brandon Graham, Fletcher Cox, Josh Sweat and Derek Barnett. In the last two drafts, they've targeted players from the best defense in college football, Georgia. They drafted five total defensive players from Georgia, including studs like Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter.

Philly's pass defense was ranked first by numberFire's metrics last season. Darius Slay had a great year at cornerback, and the addition of James Bradberry at the other corner position proved to be worthwhile.

There's a reason that the Eagles have one of the highest win totals listed -- they have a lot of talent all over their roster.

Why Philadelphia Could Go Under 11.5 Wins:

• Lack of Receiver Depth
• Coordinator Changes
• Defensive Regression
  

Without any major changes to Philly this offseason, it's hard to find many faults in a team that went 14-3 and came very close to winning the Super Bowl. There may be some minor flaws in the team's roster but nothing glaring. But let's nitpick.

Aside from the two superstar wide receivers, the Eagles don't have a lot of playmakers at the position. Quez Watkins has shown flashes but isn't what you would typically want as a starting outside receiver. The same can be said for Greg Ward.

Olamide Zaccheaus signed a contract with the team in free agency, but he's also not the most inspiring player to bring in. Hurts' passing ability was arguably elevated by playing with Brown and Smith last season, and if one of those two had to miss significant time, it could set the offense back.

The biggest changes from last season will be at both coordinator positions. Shane Steichen and Jonathan Gannon were hired as head coaches after leading top-tier units in 2022.

Brian Johnson will take over at offensive coordinator, and there is some continuity there as he was the team's quarterbacks coach. Johnson will be the play-caller, and having your first coordinator job come on a team with huge expectations is a tall task.

Sean Desai will come in as defensive coordinator, after some controversy with the last DC. Gannon was criticized for his game plan against Patrick Mahomes in the Super Bowl. Gannon also had met with the Arizona Cardinals prior to the week of the Super Bowl, which infuriated the Eagles' front office.

The Eagles had a game plan last season to sacrifice their run D to be great against the pass. They ranked 29th against the run by numberFire's metrics but were still the 10th-best defense overall. Allowing opponents to run is a modern strategy that makes sense because running the ball is less efficient than passing.

This leads to the next way the team could miss their win total -- if the defense regresses. Year-to-year, defense is less sticky than offense, especially in this day and age where all of the rules are in the offense's favor.

Darius Slay is 32 now and may start to show his age. If his performance drops, that could hurt the team overall. He was able to shut down several top wide receivers last year, including Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb.

With as much talent as the Eagles have upfront, regression isn't as likely as it is with some teams. However, if their play slips, it could cause them to go under their projected win total.

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.