NFL Week 8 Betting Picks

Including last night's Thursday Night Football affair between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills, NFL Week 8 features a full 16-game slate.

That leaves 14 contests on Sunday for us to sink our teeth into. Here we are, almost halfway through the regular season, and every team is in action with no byes.

It's worth noting that last week was one for the dogs. In their best collective showing of 2023, underdogs went 8-5 straight up (SU). The Minnesota Vikings and New England Patriots were each getting upwards of a touchdown on the spread, yet both managed to win outright. We shall see if any of that lopsidedness continues as we approach the mischievous Halloween weekend.

Off the bat, roommates -- the New York Jets and New York Giants -- will slug it out to assess this year's Big Apple bragging rights. With neither franchise better than .500 right now, do you feel more comfortable with Big Blue or Gang Green?

In the afternoon window, I'm curious to see how a certain AFC West matchup plays out -- can the Kansas City Chiefs continue their dominance over the Denver Broncos? That one will be at Mile High, where head coach Sean Payton and company are still looking for continuity.

Let's dive into the Week 8 odds with an emphasis on scoping out the most valuable of Sunday's lines in traditional betting markets.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

NFL Betting Picks (10/29/23)

Sunday's Full Slate

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Spread: PHI -7 (-112)
• Moneyline: PHI -310/WSH +250
• Total: 43.5 (-105/-115)

Genuinely, the NFC East is not looking as universally competitive compared to last season. Eight weeks in, the Philadelphia Eagles are the clear favorite in the division while the Dallas Cowboys are also warranting some respect. From there, the aforementioned Giants and Washington Commanders have just five combined wins in 2023.

This weekend, the Eagles will make the short trip to Landover, where the Commanders have hopes of an upset. Of course, these sides squared off in Philly not all that long ago. At the beginning of the month, Washington pushed Philadelphia to the brink, but the Birds ultimately triumphed in overtime, 34-31. Star receivers A.J. Brown and Terry McLaurin were each big for their respective side in that Week 4 meeting.

Since the head-to-head contest, the Eagles have gone 2-1 SU while Washington has played to 1-2 SU. However, the Commanders have dropped games to struggling sides like Big Blue and the Chicago Bears. At the moment, Washington does not appear like a team capable of taking down the defending NFC champions. Yes, a lot can change in three weeks.

Best Bet: Eagles -7 (-112)

Despite a slower start from Jalen Hurts to the 2023 campaign, the Eagles are beginning to fly like we know they can. In their most recent showing, Philly rolled over the Miami Dolphins, 31-17. After the performance, Hurts' favorite target, Brown, is now second in the NFL with 804 receiving yards. Simply, Brown has been scary good, imposing physicality and finishing plays.

I don't think this game will be as close as the Eagles and Commanders contest a few weeks ago. The game projections at numberFire concur, citing a Philly winning score of 28.02-19.09 -- a difference of 8.93 points. With nearly two points of cushion there, let's play the Birds against the spread (ATS) this weekend.

Additionally, Philadelphia at Washington is the featured contest of the week for FanDuel Sportsbook's official Same Game Parlay. There are four legs to the parlay (see site for stipulations) and all are geared toward the Eagles. Basically, If you are big on Philly this week, it'd be wise to take a look!

New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts

• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV: FOX
• Spread: NO -1
• Moneyline: NO -118/IND +100
• Total: 43.5

The New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts each enter Week 8 after suffering heartbreaking losses in their last effort.

NOLA was thwarted at home by the Jacksonville Jaguars after failing to haul in a late game-saving touchdown; it was in their figurative and literal hands. As for the Colts, they fell in a back-and-fourth bid against the Cleveland Browns. Of course, there were many in the Circle City that day who felt the officials were a little too influential down the stretch.

It should be an interesting clash this weekend when the Saints head up to Indy. Frankly, I am excited to see Who Dat's defense go at Indianapolis' offense as there are plenty of noteworthy individual matchups to point toward. So when push comes to shove, who will have the edge here?

Random as it is, this will be the first meeting of signal-callers Derek Carr and Gardner Minshew. Also, this is a rematch of Super Bowl XLIV!

Best Bet: Under 43.5 (-110)

This contest could easily swing either way in the win column, which really makes more drawn to a play on the total. Initially, the Saints have been the over bettor's least favorite team in 2023. Through seven contests for New Orleans so far this year, the combined point total has gone over just once. So this week, I am riding with under 43.5 here.

It will be fun to see if guys like Cam Jordan and Quenton Nelson line up with one another. The same can be said for DeMario Davis and Jonathan Taylor as well as Marshon Lattimore and Michael Pittman Jr., but given the lack of consistency from the quarterbacks on display here (with Carr and Minshew both averaging less than 7.5 yards per pass right now), I trust more the defenses to win their fair share of plays.

New York Jets at New York Giants

• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Spread: NYJ -3 (-104)
• Moneyline: NYJ -164/NYG +138
• Total: 36.5 (-115/-105)

In a battle for N.Y., the Jets and Giants will meet this weekend at their respective shared digs, MetLife Stadium. The two sides have not competed head-to-head in the regular season since 2019 -- a game NYJ won by a touchdown. However, throughout history, the G-Men have the upper hand at 8-6 in 14 contests.

Candidly, both of these Big Apple franchises have seen their seasons go off the rails like a runaway C-train. However, in New York, that doesn't necessarily mean all hope is lost -- bing bong! No, it won't be Aaron Rodgers versus Daniel Jones after all, but it will be former second overall pick Zach Wilson against NFL journeyman Tyrod Taylor. Stay tuned.

Strangely enough, New York is in one of its largest professional sporting championship droughts of all-time. The Football Giants were actually the most recent franchise to win a title for the big city in any major sport. Still, that came back in 2011, meaning it has been over a decade since an N.Y. team took all the marbles.

Best Bet: Over 36.5 (-115)

In the current moment, it can be really tough to trust either squad here to play a circumspect ball game. There's also the old adage of "don't bet on bad teams." So without playing a side in this contest, I think we can attack the small combined number of 36.5. For reference, that is the second-lowest total posting of all 16 games in Week 8. It's time to shoot for the over.

Reflecting back to the NFL game projections on numberFire, over 36.5 total points is supported for this game. Per their model, the Jets are estimated to win Sunday by a narrow score of 19.60-18.56. That would not cover Gang Green's spread of a field goal, but that does cash the over for total points (38.16). Hey, in a regional rivalry game, I expect these sides to push each other.

Lastly, NYG's defense has been rather porous in 2023. Currently surrendering 24.9 PPG, perhaps the J-E-T-S can continue building momentum against Big Blue. Over the past three games, NYJ has increased their scoring clip to 23.7 PPG in that split.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Spread: KC -7.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: KC -355/DEN +285
• Total: 47.5 (-102/-120)

Two original AFL rivals along Interstate 70, the Chiefs and Broncos will face off for their 128th head-to-head contest of all-time (including postseason). Of course, if you've watched any of those specific games between now and the middle of last decade, you'd know that Denver has had a really tough time with K.C.

Not only do the Chiefs hold the 72-55 upper hand in this divisional series, but they have won their past 16 meetings against the Broncos -- yikes. Frankly, that does not sound like much of a rivalry. This streak goes back even before Patrick Mahomes' time in the NFL, but his emergence certainly has not made it any easier for Mile High.

Kansas City enters this game at 6-1 SU on the year while Denver has played to just 2-5. The Broncos have not defeated K.C. since November 2015, and given the lack of consistency between head coach Sean Payton and quarterback Russell Wilson, I don't see them taking down the reigning champs this Sunday afternoon.

Best Bet: Chiefs -7.5 (-102)

Simply, Mahomes has always fared rather well when playing at Mile High. Through six lifetime contests in Denver, the two-time league MVP has passed for 247.7 YPG while totaling nine touchdowns with just four interceptions. When considering that he and All-World tight end Travis Kelce are in peak form at the moment (winners of their most recent five games consecutively), I don't give the Broncos much of a shot at home.

With the current spread set lower than two scores for Kansas City, I am confident they will cover on the road. The head-to-head dominance is well-recorded, and transparently, Denver has been the worst defensive team in the NFL to this point. At the moment, the Broncos are 31st in points allowed (31.0 PPG) and dead last in total yardage surrendered (424.7 YPG). So, yes, I expect K.C. to roll right through them this weekend.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NFL betting options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.