NFL Draft Betting: Who Will Be the Second Overall Pick?
The NFL Draft is slightly more than a week away -- with the first round taking place on Thursday, April 27th -- and there are a lot of NFL Draft odds up at FanDuel Sportsbook.
A market that's experienced a lot of line movement lately is the odds on who will be the second overall pick.
The Houston Texans own the selection. The thought for most of the offseason was that Houston would likely take a quarterback second overall, but there's been momentum building that the Texans could do something else, including possibly trading the pick.
Update: A QB isn't expected to be drafted after the 1st overall pick until at least the 4th pick, per @AdamSchefter
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) April 17, 2023
"We've heard quarterbacks go 1, 2, 3, 4.. in this Draft, that's not going to happen, I believe."
Adds the #Colts could get the second best QB in the Draft at #4. pic.twitter.com/kl8mvOzRwn
As a result, the odds for who will be the second pick have shifted in recent days. Earlier this week, CJ Stroud was a +125 favorite to be the number-two selection. That's not the case anymore.
Here's the current lay of the land:
Player | Odds | |
---|---|---|
Will Anderson | +200 | |
CJ Stroud | +250 | |
Will Levis | +250 | |
Tyree Wilson | +400 | |
Bryce Young | +1000 |
Those are the five players with odds shorter than +1000. Given that Bryce Young is a -1200 favorite to be the first overall pick, this is mostly a four-man market between Anderson, Stroud, Levis and Wilson.
According to Grinding the Mocks, no player other than Young has an expected draft position (EDP) below 3.2. Grinding the Mocks has Stroud (3.2 EDP) and Anderson (3.3) a notch or two ahead of Wilson (6.5) and Levis (8.4).
We can always count on some unpredictability in the draft, and it looks like we won't have to wait long for things to get interesting. As of now, the Texans appear to hold the key to how the early part of the first round will play out.
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