NBA Betting Picks for Wednesday 2/7/24: Eastern Conference Clashes Lead the Way
The 82-game NBA regular season offers us a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. The Association features 1,230 regular season games, which can make sifting through the odds an overwhelming task.
However, various advanced statistics can help narrow the choices. numberFire's NBA power rankings and daily projections paired with advanced stats from the NBA can help give the inside track to winning big.
While utilizing some of the mentioned tools, which NBA odds from FanDuel Sportsbook look like the best bets today?
Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.
NBA Best Bets
Cleveland Cavaliers at Washington Wizards
Cavaliers -11.5 (-110)
The Cleveland Cavaliers are on one of their best runs in franchise history with a 14-1 record over their last 15 games. Cleveland also pulled off this feat in the 2008-09 season; they even took it a step further at 19-1 over a 20-game span. Replicating this achievement seems unlikely, but who knows with the Cavaliers' current level of play.
Cleveland has shot up to the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference, and they have a great chance of keeping the ball rolling with a favorable matchup against the Washington Wizards, who have the second-worst record in the NBA at 9-40. The Cavs' blistering hot streak has also produced against the spread (ATS) as they have covered 7 of the last 10 games. I'm not a big fan of backing double-digit spreads in the NBA, but this one feels like an exception.
Washington has failed to cover three straight games, and they have the sixth-worst offensive rating in the Association. The Wizards could struggle to put the ball in the hoop, for Cleveland is led by the NBA's second-best defensive rating and has held their last 10 opponents to an average of 105.6 PPG. Washington leans on attacking the rim with the second-most points in the paint per game. However, the Cavaliers have a direct answer for that by allowing the fourth-fewest points in the paint. Plus, Jarrett Allen (111.2 defensive rating) and Evan Mobley (110.8 defensive rating) have established themselves as one of the league's top frontcourt defensive duos.
As the 9-40 record would suggest, Washington has pretty much been a dumpster fire as they also have the third-worst defensive rating. Cleveland looks to play fast at times with the sixth-most fastbreak points per game, and they let it fly from three with the ninth-most attempts per game. The Wizards could fail to answer either concern as they give up the 9th-most fastbreak points and have the 10th-worst mark in opponent three-point percentage.
The Cavaliers-Wizards could be gearing up to be a rout in Cleveland's favor.
Toronto Raptors at Charlotte Hornets
Over 225 (-110)
The Toronto Raptors and Charlotte Hornets both rank among the NBA's bottom-13 offenses, yet I still like the two teams to score enough points for the over. Let's dive into the support.
Charlotte finding enough success on offense could be the biggest concern for the over as they have the third-worst offensive rating. Despite LaMelo Ball (23.9 PPG) missing his last six games, the Hornets have actually shot pretty well from three over the last three games. Keep in mind Ball leads the team with 9.0 three-point shots per contest and Charlotte still shot better than 40.0% from deep in two of the last three games while also reaching at least 13 made threes in two contests.
The three-ball could be the Hornets' key to success for tonight. The Raptors give up the 16th-most three-point shots per game while holding the 9th-worst mark in opponent three-point percentage. This weakness has taken center stage over Toronto's last two games with opponents shooting 38.9% from beyond the arc while averaging 21.0 made threes.
Now that we've gone over Charlotte's potential path to points, let's look at the Raptors' offense. The unit has totaled 115.2 PPG over their previous five games. Similar to the Hornets, shooting the three has been a strength as Toronto has knocked down 40.3% of their looks from deep during the five-game span. The Hornets' perimeter defense has been putrid with the worst mark in opponent three-point percentage while giving up the sixth-most three-point makes per game.
But wait, there are even more advantages with the Raptors averaging the fifth-most points in the paint while Charlotte surrenders the seventh-most points in the paint per game. Plus, the Hornets are still without their top defender in Mark Williams, who leads the team with a 115.7 defensive rating.
Of course, eclipsing 225 combined points simply will not take much; it's not like I'm asking for both teams to total over 120 points. The over feels very much in reach with each offense holding their respective advantages.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.