Montana State vs Idaho College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Sky Tournament

The No. 2 seed Montana State Bobcats (18-13, 12-6 Big Sky) will play the No. 7 seed Idaho Vandals (18-14, 9-9 Big Sky) in the Big Sky tournament Sunday at Idaho Central Arena, beginning at 10 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Montana State vs. Idaho Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 8, 2026
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Boise, Idaho
• Arena: Idaho Central Arena

Montana State vs. Idaho Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Montana State win (56.7%)

If you plan to place a wager on Montana State-Idaho contest (in which Montana State is a 1.5-point favorite and the total is set at 142.5 points), here are a few betting trends and insights for Sunday's game.

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Montana State vs. Idaho: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Montana State has compiled a 17-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• Idaho has put together a 13-16-0 record against the spread this year.
• As a 1.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, Montana State is 11-7 against the spread compared to the 4-7 ATS record Idaho puts up as a 1.5-point underdog.
• In home games, the Bobcats own a better record against the spread (7-4-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (10-7-0).
• Against the spread, the Vandals have had better results on the road (7-9-0) than at home (4-6-0).
• Montana State has 10 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this season.
• Idaho has eight wins against the spread in 19 Big Sky games this season.

Montana State vs. Idaho: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Montana State has been victorious in 13, or 72.2%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Bobcats have a mark of 13-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -110 or better on the moneyline.
• Idaho has won 30% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (3-7).
• The Vandals are 3-7 (winning only 30% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -110 or longer.
• Montana State has an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Montana State vs. Idaho Head-to-Head Comparison

• Montana State is outscoring opponents by 6.8 points per game with a +212 scoring differential overall. It puts up 78.0 points per game (127th in college basketball) and allows 71.2 per outing (105th in college basketball).
• Jed Miller's 14.8 points per game lead Montana State and are 317th in the nation.
• Idaho has a +185 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.8 points per game. It is putting up 78.7 points per game, 108th in college basketball, and is giving up 72.9 per contest to rank 147th in college basketball.
• Jackson Rasmussen's team-leading 14.1 points per game rank him 393rd in the country.
• The Bobcats rank 261st in the country at 30.5 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 30.3 their opponents average.
• Miller is 361st in college basketball play with 5.7 rebounds per game to lead the Bobcats.
• The Vandals record 33.4 rebounds per game (102nd in college basketball) while conceding 29.7 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.7 boards per game.
• Brody Rowbury leads the Vandals with 5.4 rebounds per game (450th in college basketball).
• Montana State ranks 62nd in college basketball by averaging 103.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 150th in college basketball, allowing 94.1 points per 100 possessions.
• The Vandals rank 94th in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 150th defensively with 94.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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