MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Thursday 6/13/24
Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!
SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.
Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!
Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.
Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Thursday 6/13/24
Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay Rays
Justin Steele Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-132)
Taj Bradley Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-156)
Alternate Total Runs: Under 9.5 (-290)
Combined Odds: +243
After a forgettable start to the 2024 campaign, Justin Steele is showing signs of being the dominant pitcher he was in 2023. Steele allowed four-plus earned runs in three of his first five starts and had just 18 combined strikeouts in his first four starts this year.
In his last three starts for the Chicago Cubs, Steele has given up a total of two earned runs while racking up 20 Ks in the process. Even though Steele's 9.5% swinging strike rate and 22.9% strikeout rate are the lowest marks of his career, he has a chance to improve those numbers against the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday.
Against left-handed pitching this season, the Rays are logging the fourth-highest strikeout rate (25.4%). Over the last 30 days, Tampa Bay is recording the worst wOBA (.275), second-worst wRC+ (82), third-worst ISO (.113), and fourth-highest strikeout rate (24.9%).
As for Taj Bradley, he also draws a favorable matchup on the mound. Despite Bradley holding a 5.17 ERA, his 3.47 xFIP and 3.25 SIERA suggest he's a bit unlucky through his first six starts for the Rays.
While 14 of his 18 earned runs allowed thus far have come in two outings, Bradley is in the 74th percentile in whiff rate (28.8%) and 88th percentile in strikeout rate (29.8%). Bradley has finished with six-plus Ks in five of his six appearances.
At the moment, the Cubs are posting the sixth-highest strikeout rate (24.2%) versus right-handed pitching. Similar to Tampa Bay, Chicago has faltered in the last 30 days with the 7th-worst wOBA (.288), 10th-worst wRC+ (87), 6th-worst ISO (.131), and 7th-highest strikeout rate (23.9%) in that span.
By backing Steele and Bradley to take care of business on the bump, we'll also take the alternate under of 9.5 runs. Both the Cubs and Rays have been involved in games with fewer than 10 runs scored in five of their last six contests.
Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins
Royce Lewis to Record 2+ Total Bases (-105)
Joe Ryan to Record 7+ Strikeouts (-260)
Minnesota Twins ML (-245)
Combined Odds: +244
Does Royce Lewis do anything but hit home runs when he's at the plate? The hard-hitting righty on the Minnesota Twins has appeared in just nine games this season, but he's homered in five of them.
Although it's a small sample size, Lewis is sporting a monstrous .532 wOBA, .591 ISO, and 254 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season. With plenty of pop in his bat and two-plus bases in six of his nine games, Lewis is being given +390 odds to hit a home run on Thursday.
Luis Medina is set to make his third start of the year for the Oakland Athletics, and he's coming off his last start where he surrendered six-plus earned runs. Medina is also tallying a dismal 48.4% hard-hit rate and 48.4% flyball rate through two starts.
While Medina is struggling to both sides of the plate to begin the year, he flashed reverse splits in 2023 -- in terms of hard contact -- with a 38.5% flyball rate and 1.59 HR/9 allowed to righties. Comparatively, Medina permitted a 29.3% flyball rate and 0.57 HR/9 to lefties a season ago.
Joe Ryan will draw the start for the Twins in what should be a fantastic matchup for the talented righty. Aside from achieving seven-plus Ks in two of his last three outings, Ryan is ranked in the 79th percentile in strikeout rate (27.4%).
Meanwhile, the Athletics have the second-highest strikeout rate (27.1%) versus right-handed pitching. Oakland also has the fourth-worst wOBA (.269), sixth-worst wRC+ (78), fifth-worst ISO (.114), and highest strikeout rate (28.4%) in the last 14 days.
To complete this SGP, we'll side with Minnesota to secure a win at home. The Athletics are 11-24 on the road, compared to the Twins owning an 18-14 home record up to this point.
Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts to Record a Run (-220)
Teoscar Hernandez to Record an RBI (+125)
Combined Odds: +215
Michael Lorenzen is expected to make his 11th start of the season for the Texas Rangers in Thursday's road showdown versus the Los Angeles Dodgers. Across his first 10 starts, Lorenzen is logging a 4.87 SIERA and 4.58 xFIP with the lowest swinging strike rate (9.3%) of his career since 2018.
Ahead of a date with the Dodgers, Lorenzen is showing massive reverse splits, allowing a .420 wOBA, 1.73 WHIP, 2.28 HR/9, and just a 14.4% strikeout rate against right-handed hitters. On the other hand, he's permitting just a .177 wOBA, 0.80 WHIP, 0.00 HR/9, and a 23.9% strikeout rate when facing left-handed hitters.
Taking those splits into account, we'll want to target the right-handed bats of the Dodgers, beginning with Mookie Betts. Out of the leadoff spot, Betts has the second-most runs scored (49) on Los Angeles' roster, and he's crossed home plate in five of his last nine contests.
Besides Betts, Teoscar Hernandez is another righty from the Dodgers who could be productive against Lorenzen. Hernandez boasts a formidable .353 wOBA, .209 ISO, and 132 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers this year.
Additionally, Hernandez has registered at least one RBI in five of his last six games, accumulating 12 RBIs in that span. With Hernandez hitting five homers in his last six contests, it's worth noting he has +370 odds to hit a home run.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.