Michigan State vs Rutgers College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

The Michigan State Spartans (24-5, 14-4 Big Ten) will try to build on a four-game win streak when they host the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17, 5-13 Big Ten) on March 5, 2026 at Jack Breslin Students Events Center.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Rutgers Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: East Lansing, Michigan
• Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State vs. Rutgers Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (95.9%)

Check out these betting insights and trends before you wager on Thursday's Michigan State-Rutgers spread (Michigan State -18.5) or total (141.5 points).

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Michigan State vs. Rutgers: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has put together a 16-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• Rutgers has put together a 14-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is an 18.5-point favorite or more 37.5% of the time. That's more often than Rutgers covers as an underdog of 18.5 or more (never covered this season).
• At home, the Spartans have a worse record against the spread (8-8-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (5-4-0).
• Against the spread, the Scarlet Knights have had better results on the road (5-5-0) than at home (7-9-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Michigan State is 11-7-0 this year.
• Rutgers is 11-7-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this year.

Michigan State vs. Rutgers: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been victorious in 21, or 91.3%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Spartans have yet to lose in seven games when named as moneyline favorite of -4000 or better.
• Rutgers has won 23.8% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (5-16).
• The Scarlet Knights have played as a moneyline underdog of +1400 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan State has a 97.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Michigan State vs. Rutgers Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last year, Michigan State was 78th in college basketball on offense (77.7 points scored per game) and 44th on defense (67.1 points conceded).
• On the glass, Michigan State was 10th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.7 per game) last season. It was 28th in rebounds allowed (28.2 per game).
• Michigan State was 24th-best in the country in assists (16.5 per game) last season.
• Last season, Michigan State was 135th in the country in turnovers committed (10.7 per game) and 265th in turnovers forced (10.4).
• Last season Rutgers averaged 77 points per game (90th-ranked in college basketball) and gave up 77.6 points per contest (319th-ranked).
• Rutgers ranked 182nd in college basketball with 31.9 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 287th with 32.9 rebounds allowed per game.
• Rutgers put up 12.9 dimes per game, which ranked them 227th in the country.
• Rutgers committed 10.5 turnovers per game (120th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 11.8 turnovers per contest (134th-ranked).

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