Lindenwood vs Little Rock College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for OVC Tournament

The No. 6 seed Lindenwood Lions (17-14, 11-9 OVC) and the No. 7 seed Little Rock Trojans (12-19, 9-11 OVC) meet in the OVC tournament Wednesday at Ford Center, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Lindenwood vs. Little Rock Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: Evansville, Indiana
- Arena: Ford Center
Lindenwood vs. Little Rock Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Lindenwood win (70.6%)
Take a look at the betting insights and trends below before placing a bet on Wednesday's Lindenwood-Little Rock spread (Lindenwood -3.5) or total (148.5 points).
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Lindenwood vs. Little Rock: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Lindenwood is 12-16-0 ATS this season.
- Little Rock has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
- As a 3.5-point favorite or more in 2025-26, Lindenwood is 7-5 against the spread compared to the 5-8 ATS record Little Rock racks up as a 3.5-point underdog.
- The Lions have done a better job covering the spread in away games (7-9-0) than they have in home games (4-7-0).
- This year, the Trojans are 4-7-0 at home against the spread (.364 winning percentage). Away, they are 8-10-0 ATS (.444).
- Lindenwood has covered the spread eight times in 20 conference games.
- Little Rock is 10-10-0 against the spread in OVC play this year.
Lindenwood vs. Little Rock: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Lindenwood has been the moneyline favorite in 17 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (58.8%) in those contests.
- This season, the Lions have come away with a win eight times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -200 or better on the moneyline.
- Little Rock has a 4-14 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 22.2% of those games).
- In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +164 or longer, the Trojans have gone 1-9 (10%).
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Lindenwood has a 66.7% chance of pulling out a win.
Lindenwood vs. Little Rock Head-to-Head Comparison
- With 71.2 points scored per game and 71.3 points allowed last season, Lindenwood was 255th in the nation on offense and 152nd on defense.
- At 33.4 rebounds per game and 33.4 rebounds allowed, Lindenwood was 90th and 307th in the nation, respectively, last season.
- Last season, Lindenwood was 21st-worst in the nation in assists at 11.2 per game.
- In terms of turnovers, Lindenwood was 288th in the country in committing them (12.3 per game) last season. It was 27th in forcing them (13.8 per game).
- Little Rock averaged 69.3 points per game (298th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while surrendering 67.2 points per contest (45th-ranked).
- Little Rock grabbed 31.5 boards per game (200th-ranked in college basketball). It allowed 32.5 rebounds per contest (270th-ranked).
- Little Rock ranked 184th in the country with 13.5 dimes per contest.
- Little Rock committed 12.5 turnovers per game last year (306th-ranked in college basketball), and it forced 13.9 turnovers per contest (25th-best).
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