Knicks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 4

Knicks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: Madison Square Garden -- New York City, New York
• Coverage: ESPN, MSG, and FDSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder (48-15) will try to build on a three-game winning streak when they visit the New York Knicks (40-22) at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 as 4-point favorites. The Knicks have also won three games in a row. The over/under for the matchup is 222.5.

Knicks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Knicks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Knicks win (51.8%)

Knicks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 31-31-1 against the spread this season.
• The Knicks are 32-29-1 against the spread this season.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 35 times out of 62 chances this season.
• Knicks games this season have hit the over on 29 of 62 set point totals (46.8%).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread in road games (16-14-1) than it has at home (15-17-0).
• At home, the Thunder go over the over/under 50% of the time (16 of 32 games). They hit the over more consistently in away games, topping the total in 61.3% of games (19 of 31).
• New York's winning percentage against the spread at home is .645 (20-11-0). On the road, it is .387 (12-18-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Knicks games have gone over more frequently at home (15 of 31, 48.4%) than away (14 of 31, 45.2%).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.8 points, 4.4 rebounds and 6.4 assists.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 17.1 points, 9.1 boards and 1.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 2 blocked shots (second in NBA).
• Cason Wallace averages 9 points, 3.2 boards and 2.7 assists.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 14.1 points, 3.7 assists and 3.5 boards.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's numbers on the season are 10.5 points, 9.3 boards and 3.5 assists per game, shooting 63.7% from the field.

Knicks Leaders

• Jalen Brunson's numbers on the season are 26.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. He is also draining 47% of his shots from the floor and 37.8% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.9 triples.
• The Knicks are receiving 19.8 points, 11.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Karl-Anthony Towns.
• Mikal Bridges' numbers on the season are 15.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 4 assists per game. He is making 50.2% of his shots from the floor and 38.7% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.1 treys.
• The Knicks are getting 11.8 points, 7.4 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game from Josh Hart.
• OG Anunoby's numbers on the season are 16.1 points, 5.3 boards and 2.2 assists per game. He is making 47.7% of his shots from the field and 36.4% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2 treys.

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