Knicks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 4

Knicks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: Madison Square Garden -- New York City, New York
• Coverage: ESPN, MSG, and FDSOK

A pair of hot teams hit the court when the Oklahoma City Thunder (48-15) visit the New York Knicks (40-22) on Wednesday, March 4, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The Thunder are 4.5-point favorites and put their three-game win streak on the line against the Knicks, who have won three straight. The point total is set at 221.5 in the matchup.

Knicks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Knicks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Knicks win (51.8%)

Knicks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 31 times this season (31-31-1).
• The Knicks have 32 wins against the spread in 62 games this year.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 35 times out of 62 chances this season.
• Knicks games this season have gone over the point total 29 times in 62 opportunities (46.8%).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread in road games (16-14-1) than it has at home (15-17-0).
• Looking at over/unders, the Thunder hit the over less consistently at home, as they've gone over the total 16 times in 32 opportunities this season (50%). On the road, they have hit the over 19 times in 31 opportunities (61.3%).
• New York has been better against the spread at home (20-11-0) than away (12-18-1) this year.
• Knicks games have gone above the over/under 48.4% of the time at home (15 of 31), and 45.2% of the time away (14 of 31).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points, 4.4 boards and 6.4 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers on the season are 17.1 points, 9.1 boards and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 55.1% from the floor and 34.6% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made 3-pointers.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 9 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, shooting 43% from the field and 35% from downtown, with an average of 1.4 made treys.
• Ajay Mitchell's numbers on the season are 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game, shooting 48.7% from the floor and 35% from downtown, with an average of 1.1 made treys.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.5 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

Knicks Leaders

• Jalen Brunson averages 26.7 points for the Knicks, plus 3.4 rebounds and 6.2 assists.
• Karl-Anthony Towns averages 19.8 points, 11.8 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He is also draining 48% of his shots from the floor and 36.7% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per contest.
• Mikal Bridges averages 15.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 4 assists. He is draining 50.2% of his shots from the field and 38.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per contest.
• The Knicks are getting 11.8 points, 7.4 boards and 5.3 assists per game from Josh Hart.
• OG Anunoby's numbers on the season are 16.1 points, 5.3 boards and 2.2 assists per contest. He is draining 47.7% of his shots from the field and 36.4% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2 triples.

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