Idaho vs Sacramento State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big Sky Tournament

The No. 7 seed Idaho Vandals (17-14, 9-9 Big Sky) will take the court in the Big Sky tournament against the No. 8 seed Sacramento State Hornets (10-20, 6-12 Big Sky), Saturday at 10 p.m. ET live on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Idaho vs. Sacramento State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 7, 2026
• Game time: 10 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Boise, Idaho
• Arena: Idaho Central Arena

Idaho vs. Sacramento State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Idaho win (74.3%)

See the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Saturday's Idaho-Sacramento State spread (Idaho -6.5) or total (158.5 points).

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Idaho vs. Sacramento State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Idaho has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
• Sacramento State has covered 12 times in 27 chances against the spread this season.
• Idaho (3-3) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 6.5 points or more this season (50%) than Sacramento State (5-10) does as a 6.5+-point underdog (33.3%).
• The Vandals own a worse record against the spread in home games (4-6-0) than they do in away games (7-9-0).
• This year, the Hornets are 8-3-0 at home against the spread (.727 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-12-0 ATS (.250).
• Idaho's record against the spread in conference action is 7-11-0.
• Against the spread in Big Sky games, Sacramento State is 8-10-0 this season.

Idaho vs. Sacramento State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Idaho has been the moneyline favorite in 18 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (61.1%) in those contests.
• The Vandals have a win-loss record of 5-1 when favored by -275 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Sacramento State has been the moneyline underdog 24 total times this season. Sacramento State has finished 4-20 in those games.
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +220 or longer, the Hornets have a 1-14 record (winning only 6.7% of their games).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Idaho has a 73.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Idaho vs. Sacramento State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Idaho outscores opponents by 5.2 points per game (scoring 79 per game to rank 103rd in college basketball while giving up 73.8 per contest to rank 182nd in college basketball) and has a +162 scoring differential overall.
• Jackson Rasmussen's team-leading 14 points per game ranks 404th in college basketball.
• Sacramento State has been outscored by 3.7 points per game (posting 78.8 points per game, 109th in college basketball, while giving up 82.5 per contest, 350th in college basketball) and has a -111 scoring differential.
• Prophet Johnson leads Sacramento State, scoring 18.5 points per game (71st in college basketball).
• The 33 rebounds per game the Vandals average rank 116th in the country, and are 3.4 more than the 29.6 their opponents record per outing.
• Brody Rowbury paces the Vandals with 5.4 rebounds per game (446th in college basketball play).
• The Hornets lose the rebound battle by an average of 4.5 boards. They are collecting 32.1 rebounds per game (175th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 36.6.
• Johnson leads the Hornets with 7.5 rebounds per game (105th in college basketball).
• Idaho's 102 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 84th in college basketball, and the 95.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 177th in college basketball.
• The Hornets average 96.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (218th in college basketball), and give up 100.7 points per 100 possessions (319th in college basketball).

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