Japan - Tokyo RC - Race 11

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

11.9f

OPEN

Turf

GOOD

2034.3K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

STAR ANISE (10) is smart and the clear benchmark in ratings. Promising filly having first try this longer journey but has won 2/2 this level already and has a big finish. Too good for many of these fresh and looks the one to beat again. LAUGHTERLINES (18) is a promising type unbeaten here in two runs. Too strong fresh over 1 ¼m and looks like she will relish the extra ground. Definite danger with Lane sticking. JURYOKU PIERROT (16) will find this much tougher but far too good over 1 ¼m fresh winning in Listed grade. Has a big finish and plenty of upside. Can measure up again. DREAM CORE (12) is a talented filly who missed the frame for the first time fresh in the Oka Sho behind Star Anise. Went back from a wide gate there and made good ground but gave too big a start over the mile. Looks suited by the extra journey and can bounce back. ENNE (13) was too good on debut then straight into the Grade 2 Flora Stakes and was runner-up. Has good upside and looks a big chance again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
10	Racing second-up today. Freshened for 42 days. Last outing favourite, won by 2.5 len at Hanshin G1 Oka Sho (Japanese 1000 Guineas) April 12 over 1m defeating Garavogue carrying 121lbs at $2.90. At only start last preparation favourite, won by 1.3 len at Hanshin G1 Hanshin Juvenile Fillies December 14 over 1m defeating Garavogue carrying 121lbs at $5. Promising filly having first try this longer journey but has won 2/2 this level already and with her big finish is the one to beat again. 1st Pick 10 Star Anise Jockey: Kohei Matsuyama Trainer: Tomokazu Takano J: Kohei Matsuyama T: Tomokazu Takano	242	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Racing second-up today. Freshened for 42 days. Last outing favourite, won by 2.5 len at Hanshin G1 Oka Sho (Japanese 1000 Guineas) April 12 over 1m defeating Garavogue carrying 121lbs at $2.90. At only start last preparation favourite, won by 1.3 len at Hanshin G1 Hanshin Juvenile Fillies December 14 over 1m defeating Garavogue carrying 121lbs at $5. Promising filly having first try this longer journey but has won 2/2 this level already and with her big finish is the one to beat again.
18	Second-up today. Last run favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track G2 Sankei Sports Sho Flora Stakes (Japanese Oaks Trial) April 26 over 1 ¼m defeating Enne with 121lbs at $2.20. At only start last preparation 3rd of 9 at Kyoto in the G3 Kisaragi Sho (NHK Sho) on February 10 over 1m, neck behind Zoroastro with 121lbs at $7. Promising type unbeaten here in two runs. Too strong fresh over 1 ¼m and looks like she will relish the extra ground. Definite danger with Lane sticking. 2nd Pick 18 Laughterlines Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Michihiro Ogasa J: Damian Lane T: Michihiro Ogasa	106	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Second-up today. Last run favourite, won by 1.3 len at this track G2 Sankei Sports Sho Flora Stakes (Japanese Oaks Trial) April 26 over 1 ¼m defeating Enne with 121lbs at $2.20. At only start last preparation 3rd of 9 at Kyoto in the G3 Kisaragi Sho (NHK Sho) on February 10 over 1m, neck behind Zoroastro with 121lbs at $7. Promising type unbeaten here in two runs. Too strong fresh over 1 ¼m and looks like she will relish the extra ground. Definite danger with Lane sticking.
16	Second-up. Comes off a 42-day let-up. First-up after three months won by 2.5 len at Hanshin LR April 12 over 1 ¼m defeating Pika Kiwi carrying 121lbs at $18.90. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 7th of 11 at Monbetsu on November 3 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Tamamo Freesia carrying 121lbs at $5.40. This much tougher but far too good over 1 ¼m fresh winning in Listed grade. Has a big finish and plenty of upside. Can measure up again. 3rd Pick 16 Juryoku Pierrot Jockey: Seina Imamura Trainer: Ryo Terashima J: Seina Imamura T: Ryo Terashima	48	-	-	-	8%
Analysis Second-up. Comes off a 42-day let-up. First-up after three months won by 2.5 len at Hanshin LR April 12 over 1 ¼m defeating Pika Kiwi carrying 121lbs at $18.90. Previously second-up settled back and ran on when 7th of 11 at Monbetsu on November 3 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Tamamo Freesia carrying 121lbs at $5.40. This much tougher but far too good over 1 ¼m fresh winning in Listed grade. Has a big finish and plenty of upside. Can measure up again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.