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31 Min Till Start

AU1 - Ararat - Race 4

Harness
11 Runners
10.8f
Unknown
Synthetic
3.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

APEX (5) continues to race well with a string of top-three finishes to his name including an easy win the last time he raced at this circuit last month. Big chance to deliver again. MIELICKI (8) did a good job to come from the back row and post a 2.7m win at Maryborough last week. Starts from a handicap but is going well enough to overcome that and score again. SURPRISE TO ME (3) is suited back to a standing start having scored under these conditions two back at Stawell. NIGHT WHISPERER (7) should find this easier than the last attempt and had recorded back-to-back placings prior.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Apex silk

Solid performance when beaten by 2 m finishing second after a quick start, behind Hurricane Jane at Globe Derby Park over 1m in a NR up to 44 GROUP on April 19 at $2. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.75 m finishing third after a quick start, behind Maoris Return at Swan Hill over 1m in a NR up to 49 on April 27 at $2. Nicely placed to take this out.

1st Pick
5

Apex

Jockey: Jackie Barker

Trainer: John Hurrell

J: Jackie Barker

T: John Hurrell

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Solid performance when beaten by 2 m finishing second after a quick start, behind Hurricane Jane at Globe Derby Park over 1m in a NR up to 44 GROUP on April 19 at $2. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.75 m finishing third after a quick start, behind Maoris Return at Swan Hill over 1m in a NR up to 49 on April 27 at $2. Nicely placed to take this out.

8
Mielicki silk

Last start won from midfield and won by 2.75 m (Sr3) at Maryborough (2:05.70) beating Alfie Always in NR 44 to 49 on May 7 at $8.50 at the bell was 5th-9. In the right form and can score again.

2nd Pick
8

Mielicki

Jockey: Glenn Conroy

Trainer: Anne-Maree Conroy

J: Glenn Conroy

T: Anne-Maree Conroy

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Last start won from midfield and won by 2.75 m (Sr3) at Maryborough (2:05.70) beating Alfie Always in NR 44 to 49 on May 7 at $8.50 at the bell was 5th-9. In the right form and can score again.

3
Surprise To Me silk

Last start was well beaten into seventh behind Chinski at Charlton over 1m in a NR up to 50 on April 23 at $5.50. Raced better the start before that where he ran on from midfield and won by a head ( Fr3) held up early, at Stawell (2:51.90) beating Fling It Rainbow in No NR on April 18 at $3.60 at the bell was 5th-9m on the pegs. Has the ability to play a major role.

3rd Pick
3

Surprise To Me

Jockey: Luke Dunne

Trainer: Michael Gadsden

J: Luke Dunne

T: Michael Gadsden

75---17%5/1

Analysis

Last start was well beaten into seventh behind Chinski at Charlton over 1m in a NR up to 50 on April 23 at $5.50. Raced better the start before that where he ran on from midfield and won by a head ( Fr3) held up early, at Stawell (2:51.90) beating Fling It Rainbow in No NR on April 18 at $3.60 at the bell was 5th-9m on the pegs. Has the ability to play a major role.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).